Real Madrid v 
Villarreal
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
63%
18%
19%
1 · Real Madrid
63%
what the odds should be: 1.59
X · Draw
18%
what the odds should be: 5.56
2 · Villarreal
19%
what the odds should be: 5.26
Expected goals — Real Madrid: 1.9 · Villarreal: 1.73
Head-to-head — last 5 at Real Madrid (home)
W
2025-10-04
Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
W
2024-10-05
Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
W
2023-12-17
Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal
L
2023-04-08
Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal
D
2021-09-25
Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.93 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Real Madrid
Total4.5
1st half1.8
2nd half2.7
Villarreal
Total4.8
1st half1.9
2nd half2.9
Yellow cards — per team physical
Real Madrid
Total1.4
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9
Villarreal
Total1.2
1st half0.5
2nd half0.7
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Real Madrid to win match full time
Based on: Real Madrid's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Real Madrid (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Real Madrid; home advantage to Real Madrid.
Corners
Villarreal to win corners 1st half
Villarreal to win corners 2nd half
Villarreal to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 1st half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 2nd half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards full time