Alaves v 
Villarreal
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
42%
31%
28%
1 · Alaves
42%
what the odds should be: 2.38
X · Draw
31%
what the odds should be: 3.23
2 · Villarreal
28%
what the odds should be: 3.57
Expected goals — Alaves: 1.37 · Villarreal: 1.8
Head-to-head — last 5 at Alaves (home)
D
2026-03-13
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
W
2025-03-08
Alaves 1–0 Villarreal
D
2024-02-10
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
W
2022-04-30
Alaves 2–1 Villarreal
W
2021-04-21
Alaves 2–1 Villarreal
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.18 → Villarreal (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Alaves
Total5.3
1st half2.1
2nd half3.2
Villarreal
Total5.7
1st half2.3
2nd half3.4
Yellow cards — per team physical
Alaves
Total2
1st half0.8
2nd half1.2
Villarreal
Total1.9
1st half0.7
2nd half1.1
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Alaves to win match full time
Based on: Alaves's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Villarreal (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Villarreal; home advantage to Alaves.
Corners
Villarreal to win corners 1st half
Villarreal to win corners 2nd half
Villarreal to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Alaves to win yellow cards 1st half
Alaves to win yellow cards 2nd half
Alaves to win yellow cards full time