Sevilla
v
Valencia

La Liga · Fri 11 Sep · 21:00 · Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Head-to-head — last 5 at Sevilla (home)

W 2026-09-11 Sevilla 1–0 Valencia
L 2026-03-21 Sevilla 0–2 Valencia
D 2025-01-11 Sevilla 1–1 Valencia
L 2023-08-11 Sevilla 1–2 Valencia
D 2022-10-18 Sevilla 1–1 Valencia
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Valencia (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
HValencia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HAth Madrid
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AAth Bilbao
W
3–1
3–10
5–2
0–1
2026-08-15
HVallecano
W
2–1
1–2
4–4
1–0
2026-05-23
ACelta
L
0–1
3–4
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
HReal Madrid
L
0–1
4–4
4–0
0–0
2026-05-13
AVillarreal
W
3–2
4–6
1–2
0–0
2026-05-09
HEspanol
W
2–1
4–6
5–5
0–0
2026-05-04
HSociedad
W
1–0
3–3
3–1
0–0
2026-04-26
AOsasuna
L
1–2
4–4
2–2
0–0
2026-04-23
ALevante
L
0–2
6–3
4–3
0–0
2026-04-11
HAth Madrid
W
2–1
6–6
4–4
0–0
2026-04-05
AOviedo
L
0–1
9–5
3–5
1–0
2026-03-21
HValencia
L
0–2
1–3
2–1
0–0
2026-03-15
ABarcelona
L
2–5
4–3
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
8–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HCelta
D
0–0
1–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-23
HBarcelona
W
3–1
7–8
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
ASociedad
W
4–3
2–3
0–4
1–0
2026-05-14
HVallecano
D
1–1
5–1
1–1
0–0
2026-05-10
AAth Bilbao
W
1–0
5–13
3–2
0–0
2026-05-02
HAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–7
1–3
0–0
2026-04-25
HGirona
W
2–1
4–4
2–2
0–0
2026-04-21
AMallorca
D
1–1
4–7
2–0
0–0
2026-04-11
AElche
L
0–1
9–5
1–1
0–0
2026-04-05
HCelta
L
2–3
6–0
1–3
0–0
2026-03-21
ASevilla
W
2–0
3–1
1–2
0–0
2026-03-14
AOviedo
L
0–1
7–4
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
HValencia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-21
HValencia
L
0–2
1–3
2–1
0–0
2025-12-07
AValencia
D
1–1
2–2
6–3
0–0
2025-04-11
AValencia
L
0–1
3–3
2–3
0–0
2025-01-11
HValencia
D
1–1
10–1
1–2
0–0
2024-02-17
AValencia
D
0–0
2–7
1–0
0–0
2023-08-11
HValencia
L
1–2
8–1
3–2
1–0
2023-04-16
AValencia
W
2–0
2–6
4–1
0–1
2022-10-18
HValencia
D
1–1
11–6
4–7
1–0
2022-01-19
AValencia
D
1–1
4–4
3–3
0–1
2021-09-22
HValencia
W
3–1
1–4
5–3
0–0
2021-05-12
HValencia
W
1–0
3–5
2–2
0–0
2020-12-22
AValencia
W
1–0
5–3
2–3
0–0
2020-07-19
HValencia
W
1–0
4–7
0–1
0–0
2019-10-30
AValencia
D
1–1
1–6
3–6
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Sevilla — higher 1H shots and corners
Sevilla
Valencia
Possession %
39
46
xG
0.32
0.33
Shots
5.7
2.8
On target
1.1
1.1
Off target
2.8
1.2
Corners
2.0
0.0
Yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Sevilla — higher 2H SOT and shots
Sevilla
Valencia
Possession %
43
43
xG
0.37
0.63
Shots
7.0
4.0
On target
2.8
1.8
Off target
2.1
1.6
Corners
2.0
2.0
Yellow cards
4.0
0.0
Red cards
0.0
1.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Sevilla
50%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Valencia
19%
Sevilla at home
Expected goals: 1.22
Conceded goals: 1.11
Valencia away
Expected goals: 1.28
Conceded goals: 1.4
Projected for this match: Sevilla 1.36 — 1 Valencia
Expected goals: Sevilla 1.36 — 1 Valencia

Likely scores

1-113.2%
1-012.5%
0-09.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS47.3%

Corners (90 min)

Sevilla4
Valencia4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Sevilla2.6
Valencia2
1H total1.5
2H total3.1

Second half

Sevilla
37%
Level
35%
Valencia
28%
Expected 2H goals Sevilla 0.89 — 0.74 Valencia

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Sevilla2.4
Valencia2.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.1
Sevilla1.8
Valencia1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Sevilla
19%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Valencia
33%
Expected 1H goals Sevilla 0.37 — 0.57 Valencia · Over 0.5: Over (61%) · Over 1.5: Under (24%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.6
Sevilla1.6
Valencia1.9
O/U 3.5Even · 48%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.5
Sevilla0.8
Valencia0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 56%
2H expected total3.1
Sevilla 2H1.8
Valencia 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Alfon (0.18 xG) is Sevilla's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Mouctar Diakhaby (0.19 xG), Valencia's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Sevilla · 3 listed

Arouna Sangantesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Isaac Romerosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Ruben Vargasinjury
1 · Physical discom

Valencia · 10 listed

Andre Almeidasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Cesar Tarregadoubt
1 · Other
Diego Lopezinjury
1 · Knee
Luis Riojadoubt
1 · Muscle
Mouctar Diakhabyinjury
1 · Thigh
Dimitri Foulquierdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Umar Sadiqinjury
1 · Hamstring
Guido Rodriguezinjury
1 · Muscle
Jose Copeteinjury
1 · Ankle
Sergi Canosinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Sevilla vs Valencia (La Liga). Model call: Sevilla to win match full time (50% / 31% / 19%).

Projected xG Sevilla 1.36 — 1 Valencia. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Valencia.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Ruben Vargas, Sevilla's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Andre Almeida, Valencia's full-time chance creation is trimmed.