Monza
v
Sassuolo

Serie A · Fri 18 Sep · 20:45 · Referee not yet confirmed

Head-to-head — last 2 at Monza (home)

W 2024-01-28 Monza 1–0 Sassuolo
D 2023-01-22 Monza 1–1 Sassuolo
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Monza (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
2025-05-18
HEmpoli
L
1–3
2–6
0–1
0–0
2025-05-11
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–7
3–2
0–0
2025-05-04
HAtalanta
L
0–4
3–7
1–2
0–0
2025-04-27
AJuventus
L
0–2
5–0
3–3
0–1
2025-04-19
HNapoli
L
0–1
6–7
4–2
0–0
2025-04-12
AVenezia
L
0–1
4–3
3–5
0–1
2025-04-05
HComo
L
1–3
2–2
2–1
0–0
2025-03-30
ACagliari
L
0–3
6–4
2–2
0–0
2025-03-15
HParma
D
1–1
6–3
0–3
0–0
2025-03-08
AInter
L
2–3
1–13
1–0
0–0
2025-03-02
HTorino
L
0–2
1–4
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
HJuventus
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HTorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAtalanta
L
1–2
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AParma
L
0–1
1–1
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HLecce
L
2–3
2–8
1–4
0–0
2026-05-08
ATorino
L
1–2
5–7
2–4
0–0
2026-05-03
HMilan
W
2–0
2–3
4–4
0–1
2026-04-26
AFiorentina
D
0–0
4–7
1–2
0–0
2026-04-17
HComo
W
2–1
5–8
3–3
0–0
2026-04-12
AGenoa
L
1–2
3–5
3–2
1–1
2026-04-04
HCagliari
W
2–1
2–2
1–0
0–0
2026-03-21
AJuventus
D
1–1
4–9
2–1
0–0
2026-03-15
HBologna
L
0–1
7–4
1–2
0–0
2026-03-09
ALazio
L
1–2
6–1
4–0
0–0
2026-03-01
HAtalanta
W
2–1
3–9
2–2
1–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2024-01-28
HSassuolo
W
1–0
4–5
1–3
0–0
2023-10-02
ASassuolo
W
1–0
4–7
0–0
0–0
2023-05-19
ASassuolo
W
2–1
3–6
5–2
0–1
2023-01-22
HSassuolo
D
1–1
10–4
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Monza
Sassuolo
Possession %
xG
Shots
On target
Off target
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Monza
Sassuolo
Possession %
xG
Shots
On target
Off target
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.4
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Monza
22%
X · Draw
32%
2 · Sassuolo
46%
Monza at home
Expected goals: 0.6
Conceded goals: 1.9
Sassuolo away
Expected goals: 0.94
Conceded goals: 1.35
Projected for this match: Monza 1.07 — 1.59 Sassuolo
Expected goals: Monza 1.07 — 1.59 Sassuolo

Likely scores

1-112.3%
0-110.8%
1-29.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.7%

Corners (90 min)

Monza4.2
Sassuolo4.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Monza2
Sassuolo1.8
1H total1.2
2H total2.6

Second half

Monza
15%
Level
31%
Sassuolo
54%
Expected 2H goals Monza 0.48 — 1.22 Sassuolo

2H corners split

Expected total4.4
Monza2.2
Sassuolo2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.6
Monza1.4
Sassuolo1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Monza
25%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Sassuolo
30%
Expected 1H goals Monza 0.52 — 0.58 Sassuolo · Over 0.5: Over (67%) · Over 1.5: Under (30%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Monza2
Sassuolo2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Monza0.6
Sassuolo0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Monza 2H1.4
Sassuolo 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Tommaso Macchioni (0.43 xG) is Sassuolo's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Monza · 2 listed

Patrick Ciurriadoubt
1 · Other
Matteo Pessinainjury
1 · Knee

Sassuolo · 8 listed

Jay Idzessuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Jay Idzesdoubt
1 · Thigh
Cristian Volpatoinjury
1 · Other
S. Walukiewiczdoubt
1 · Lower leg
Edoardo Pieragnoloinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Daniel Bolocadoubt
1 · Knee
Ismael Koneinjury
1 · Lower leg
Fali Candeinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Monza vs Sassuolo (Serie A). Model call: Sassuolo to win match full time (22% / 32% / 46%).

Sassuolo holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Monza 1.07 — 1.59 Sassuolo. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Monza. Monza home form -1.3; Sassuolo away form -0.4.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matteo Pessina, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jay Idzes, Sassuolo's full-time chance creation is trimmed.