Marseille v 
Toulouse
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
48%
27%
25%
1 · Marseille
48%
what the odds should be: 2.08
X · Draw
27%
what the odds should be: 3.7
2 · Toulouse
25%
what the odds should be: 4
Expected goals — Marseille: 1.17 · Toulouse: 1.27
Head-to-head — last 5 at Marseille (home)
D
2025-11-29
Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
W
2025-04-06
Marseille 3–2 Toulouse
D
2023-09-17
Marseille 0–0 Toulouse
W
2022-12-29
Marseille 6–1 Toulouse
W
2020-02-08
Marseille 1–0 Toulouse
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.46 → Marseille (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Marseille
Total5
1st half2
2nd half3
Toulouse
Total4.9
1st half2
2nd half2.9
Yellow cards — per team physical
Marseille
Total2
1st half0.8
2nd half1.2
Toulouse
Total2.2
1st half0.9
2nd half1.3
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Marseille to win match full time
Based on: Marseille's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Marseille (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Toulouse; home advantage to Marseille.
Corners
corners 1st half too close to call — evenly matched
Marseille to win corners 2nd half
Marseille to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Toulouse to win yellow cards 1st half
Toulouse to win yellow cards 2nd half
Toulouse to win yellow cards full time