Nott'm Forest
v
Tottenham

Premier League · Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 · Referee: Craig Pawson

Head-to-head — last 4 at Nott'm Forest (home)

W 2025-12-14 Nott'm Forest 3–0 Tottenham
W 2024-12-26 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Tottenham
L 2023-12-15 Nott'm Forest 0–2 Tottenham
L 2022-08-28 Nott'm Forest 0–2 Tottenham
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Nott'm Forest (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-05-24
HBournemouth
D
1–1
6–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AMan United
L
2–3
6–7
1–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HNewcastle
D
1–1
2–1
2–0
0–0
2026-05-04
AChelsea
W
3–1
1–10
1–3
0–0
2026-04-24
ASunderland
W
5–0
6–3
5–2
0–0
2026-04-19
HBurnley
W
4–1
4–4
0–2
0–0
2026-04-12
HAston Villa
D
1–1
7–3
2–2
0–0
2026-03-22
ATottenham
W
3–0
3–13
2–1
0–0
2026-03-15
HFulham
D
0–0
5–4
2–3
0–0
2026-03-04
AMan City
D
2–2
1–6
4–0
0–0
2026-03-01
ABrighton
L
1–2
4–4
1–3
0–0
2026-02-22
HLiverpool
L
0–1
7–2
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HEverton
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ABrentford
L
0–3
3–7
1–1
0–0
2026-05-24
HEverton
W
1–0
6–2
5–3
0–1
2026-05-19
AChelsea
L
1–2
4–3
3–4
0–0
2026-05-11
HLeeds
D
1–1
14–2
3–1
0–0
2026-05-03
AAston Villa
W
2–1
5–5
5–2
0–0
2026-04-25
AWolves
W
1–0
5–5
4–3
0–0
2026-04-18
HBrighton
D
2–2
7–5
3–1
0–0
2026-04-12
ASunderland
L
0–1
6–2
3–3
0–0
2026-03-22
HNott'm Forest
L
0–3
13–3
1–2
0–0
2026-03-15
ALiverpool
D
1–1
4–3
0–0
0–0
2026-03-05
HCrystal Palace
L
1–3
6–3
3–2
0–0
2026-03-01
AFulham
L
1–2
8–5
3–3
0–0
2026-02-22
HArsenal
L
1–4
2–5
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-03-22
ATottenham
W
3–0
3–13
2–1
0–0
2025-12-14
HTottenham
W
3–0
3–3
1–3
0–0
2025-04-21
ATottenham
W
2–1
1–7
4–1
0–0
2024-12-26
HTottenham
W
1–0
2–7
3–2
0–1
2024-04-07
ATottenham
L
1–3
2–12
3–2
0–0
2023-12-15
HTottenham
L
0–2
6–4
2–4
0–1
2023-03-11
ATottenham
L
1–3
10–2
1–3
0–0
2022-08-28
HTottenham
L
0–2
6–1
6–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Nott'm Forest — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Nott'm Forest
Tottenham
Possession %
49
55
xG
0.60
0.47
Shots
6.8
4.6
On target
2.4
1.5
Off target
1.9
1.8
Corners
2.8
2.5
Yellow cards
0.3
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Tottenham — higher 2H SOT and possession
Nott'm Forest
Tottenham
Possession %
42
50
xG
0.91
0.85
Shots
8.0
5.6
On target
2.0
2.7
Off target
3.3
1.9
Corners
2.0
2.2
Yellow cards
0.9
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Nott'm Forest
55%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Tottenham
14%
Nott'm Forest at home
Expected goals: 0.95
Conceded goals: 0.99
Tottenham away
Expected goals: 1.02
Conceded goals: 1.57
Projected for this match: Nott'm Forest 1.43 — 0.94 Tottenham
Expected goals: Nott'm Forest 1.43 — 0.94 Tottenham

Likely scores

1-013%
1-112.9%
0-09.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS46.7%

Corners (90 min)

Nott'm Forest4.3
Tottenham5.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Nott'm Forest1.9
Tottenham2.2
1H total1.3
2H total2.8
Pawson averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Nott'm Forest
39%
Level
37%
Tottenham
24%
Expected 2H goals Nott'm Forest 0.86 — 0.61 Tottenham

2H corners

Expected total5.7
Nott'm Forest2.3
Tottenham3.3

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.8
Nott'm Forest1.4
Tottenham1.4

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Nott'm Forest
41%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Tottenham
18%
Expected 1H goals Nott'm Forest 0.79 — 0.43 Tottenham · Over 0.5: Over (70%) · Over 1.5: Under (34%)

1H corners

Expected total3.9
Nott'm Forest2
Tottenham1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.3
Nott'm Forest0.5
Tottenham0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.8
Nott'm Forest 2H1.4
Tottenham 2H1.4
Pawson averages 0.6 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Pawson averages 3.1 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Lorenzo Lucca (0.19 xG) is Nott'm Forest's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Ben Davies (0.78 xG) is Tottenham's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Nott'm Forest · 3 listed

Nikola Milenkovicdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Jair Cunhadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Nicolo Savonainjury
1 · Knee

Tottenham · 5 listed

Sandro Tonalidoubt
1 · Knock
Pedro Porrodoubt
1 · Muscle
Dejan Kulusevskiinjury
1 · Knee
Xavi Simonsinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Wilson Odobertinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham (Premier League). Model call: Nott'm Forest to win match full time (55% / 31% / 14%).

Nott'm Forest holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Nott'm Forest 1.43 — 0.94 Tottenham. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Nott'm Forest. Nott'm Forest home form -0.04; Tottenham away form -0.55.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Dejan Kulusevski, Tottenham's full-time chance creation is trimmed.