Bournemouth
v
Sunderland

Premier League · Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Craig Pawson

Head-to-head — last 4 at Bournemouth (home)

W 2026-10-18 Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
D 2026-02-28 Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland
L 2016-11-05 Bournemouth 1–2 Sunderland
W 2015-09-19 Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Sunderland (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HChelsea
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ACoventry
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HLeeds
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMan City
L
3–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
5–3
3–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HChelsea
W
2–1
7–7
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AEverton
W
3–1
2–3
0–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-02-28
HSunderland
D
1–1
7–3
4–2
0–0
2025-11-29
ASunderland
L
2–3
3–6
5–5
1–0
2017-04-29
ASunderland
W
1–0
5–6
2–3
0–0
2016-11-05
HSunderland
L
1–2
12–2
3–2
0–1
2016-01-23
ASunderland
D
1–1
4–3
1–1
0–0
2015-09-19
HSunderland
W
2–0
7–3
2–4
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Possession %
50
48
xG
0.69
0.32
Shots
5.6
3.8
On target
2.2
1.2
Off target
2.2
1.6
Corners
3.8
1.6
Yellow cards
0.7
0.7
Red cards
0.0
0.2
Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Possession %
51
43
xG
1.14
0.90
Shots
8.8
5.4
On target
2.9
2.2
Off target
2.6
1.5
Corners
3.5
1.7
Yellow cards
1.6
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Bournemouth
52%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Sunderland
19%
Bournemouth at home
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.11
Sunderland away
Expected goals: 1.25
Conceded goals: 1.63
Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.44 — 1.2 Sunderland
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.44 — 1.2 Sunderland

Likely scores

1-112.7%
1-09.9%
2-18.9%

Goals markets

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS53.6%

Corners (90 min)

Bournemouth5.3
Sunderland5.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Bournemouth2
Sunderland1.9
1H total1.2
2H total2.8
Pawson averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Bournemouth
32%
Level
37%
Sunderland
31%
Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.78 — 0.76 Sunderland

2H corners

Expected total5.8
Bournemouth2.4
Sunderland3.4

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.8
Bournemouth1.5
Sunderland1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Bournemouth
38%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Sunderland
18%
Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.69 — 0.38 Sunderland · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners

Expected total4.6
Bournemouth2.8
Sunderland1.8
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.2
Bournemouth0.6
Sunderland0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.8
Bournemouth 2H1.5
Sunderland 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Pawson averages 0.6 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Pawson averages 3.1 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Eliezer Mayenda (0.16 xG) is Sunderland's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Sunderland · 6 listed

Omar Alderetesuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Granit Xhakadoubt
1 · Calf
Brian Brobbeydoubt
1 · Other
Daniel Ballardinjury
1 · Thigh
Habib Diarrainjury
1 · Thigh
Romaine Mundleinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Sunderland (Premier League). Model call: Bournemouth to win match full time (52% / 29% / 19%).

Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Bournemouth 1.44 — 1.2 Sunderland. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Sunderland. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Sunderland away form -0.37.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Habib Diarra, Sunderland's full-time chance creation is trimmed.