Bournemouth v Sunderland

Result

31%

38%

32%

1 · Bournemouth

31%

what the odds should be: 3.23

X · Draw

38%

what the odds should be: 2.63

2 · Sunderland

32%

what the odds should be: 3.13

Expected goals — Bournemouth: 1.2 · Sunderland: 1.17

Head-to-head — last 1 at Bournemouth (home)

D 2026-02-28 Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.53 → Sunderland (2 meetings on file)

Corners — per team

Bournemouth

Total5.5

1st half2.3

2nd half3.2

Sunderland

Total5.4

1st half2.3

2nd half3.2

Yellow cards — per team

Bournemouth

Total2.2

1st half0.9

2nd half1.3

Sunderland

Total1.8

1st half0.8

2nd half1

No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.

Our model's call

Draw

Based on: Sunderland's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Sunderland (2 meetings on file); expected goals favour Bournemouth; home advantage to Bournemouth.

Corners

corners 1st half too close to call — evenly matched

corners 2nd half too close to call — evenly matched

Bournemouth to win corners full time

Yellow cards

Bournemouth to win yellow cards 1st half

Bournemouth to win yellow cards 2nd half

Bournemouth to win yellow cards full time