Monza
v
Sassuolo

Serie A · Fri 18 Sep · 20:45 · Referee: Daniele Perenzoni

Head-to-head — last 3 at Monza (home)

W 2026-09-18 Monza 2–1 Sassuolo
W 2024-01-28 Monza 1–0 Sassuolo
D 2023-01-22 Monza 1–1 Sassuolo
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Monza (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HNapoli
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
ATorino
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCagliari
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALazio
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AParma
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ARoma
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HFiorentina
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HLazio
L
2–6
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AComo
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-16
AFrosinone
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMilan
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
AMonza
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HJuventus
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HJuventus
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
ABologna
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HTorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HTorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAtalanta
L
1–2
4–4
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AAtalanta
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AParma
L
0–1
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-18
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2024-01-28
HSassuolo
W
1–0
4–5
1–3
0–0
2023-10-02
ASassuolo
W
1–0
4–7
0–0
0–0
2023-05-19
ASassuolo
W
2–1
3–6
5–2
0–1
2023-01-22
HSassuolo
D
1–1
10–4
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Monza
Sassuolo
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Monza
Sassuolo
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.4
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Monza
22%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Sassuolo
47%
Monza at home
Expected goals: 0.6
Conceded goals: 1.9
Sassuolo away
Expected goals: 0.94
Conceded goals: 1.35
Projected for this match: Monza 1.08 — 1.62 Sassuolo
Expected goals: Monza 1.08 — 1.62 Sassuolo

Likely scores

1-112.1%
0-110.6%
1-29.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS53.3%

Corners (90 min)

Monza4.2
Sassuolo4.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Monza2
Sassuolo1.8
1H total1.2
2H total2.6

Second half

Monza
15%
Level
31%
Sassuolo
54%
Expected 2H goals Monza 0.48 — 1.22 Sassuolo

2H corners split

Expected total4.4
Monza2.2
Sassuolo2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.6
Monza1.4
Sassuolo1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Monza
25%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Sassuolo
30%
Expected 1H goals Monza 0.52 — 0.58 Sassuolo · Over 0.5: Over (67%) · Over 1.5: Under (30%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.1
Monza2
Sassuolo2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Monza0.6
Sassuolo0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Monza 2H1.4
Sassuolo 2H1.2
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Tommaso Macchioni (0.43 xG) is Sassuolo's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Monza · 2 listed

Ivan Juricsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Samuele Birindellidoubt
1 · Lower leg

Sassuolo · 5 listed

Jay Idzessuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Domenico Berardidoubt
1 · Other
Cristian Volpatodoubt
1 · Muscle
Daniel Bolocadoubt
1 · Knee
Ismael Koneinjury
1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Monza vs Sassuolo (Serie A). Model call: Sassuolo to win match full time (22% / 31% / 47%).

Sassuolo holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Monza 1.08 — 1.62 Sassuolo. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Monza. Monza home form -1.3; Sassuolo away form -0.4.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Ivan Juric, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jay Idzes, Sassuolo's full-time chance creation is trimmed.