Barcelona
v
Real Madrid

La Liga · Sun 25 Oct · 22:00 · Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera

Head-to-head — last 5 at Barcelona (home)

L 2026-10-25 Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
W 2026-05-10 Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid
W 2025-05-11 Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
L 2023-10-28 Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
W 2023-03-19 Barcelona 2–1 Real Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Barcelona (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AAth Madrid
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HAlaves
W
6–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABetis
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HGetafe
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-16
HSantander
W
7–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALevante
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALevante
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AValencia
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HVallecano
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HAth Bilbao
W
2–0
12–5
1–2
0–0
2026-08-27
HAth Bilbao
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AElche
W
5–0
1–3
0–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AElche
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AValencia
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ASantander
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ABarcelona
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSevilla
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HVillarreal
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
AElche
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HVallecano
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
ABetis
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HMalaga
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
4–7
3–3
0–0
2026-08-26
HSociedad
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-10
HReal Madrid
W
2–0
4–8
2–4
0–0
2025-10-26
AReal Madrid
L
1–2
4–12
5–5
1–1
2025-05-11
HReal Madrid
W
4–3
10–2
4–3
0–0
2024-10-26
AReal Madrid
W
4–0
3–10
5–2
0–0
2024-04-21
AReal Madrid
L
2–3
8–2
2–3
0–0
2023-10-28
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
6–3
2–1
0–0
2023-03-19
HReal Madrid
W
2–1
8–1
4–3
0–0
2022-10-16
AReal Madrid
L
1–3
3–2
2–2
0–0
2022-03-20
AReal Madrid
W
4–0
3–4
4–4
0–0
2021-10-24
HReal Madrid
L
1–2
7–4
1–1
0–0
2021-04-10
AReal Madrid
L
1–2
6–5
4–3
0–1
2020-10-24
HReal Madrid
L
1–3
7–7
3–2
0–0
2020-03-01
AReal Madrid
L
0–2
2–8
2–2
0–0
2019-12-18
HReal Madrid
D
0–0
2–6
3–5
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Possession %
62
54
xG
0.93
1.05
Shots
6.7
10.3
On target
3.9
3.5
Off target
2.1
4.0
Corners
2.6
3.5
Yellow cards
0.5
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Barcelona — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Possession %
59
50
xG
0.97
0.86
Shots
8.6
5.1
On target
4.7
1.5
Off target
2.9
2.7
Corners
2.5
2.4
Yellow cards
0.9
1.4
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Barcelona
55%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Real Madrid
20%
Barcelona at home
Expected goals: 2.72
Conceded goals: 0.47
Real Madrid away
Expected goals: 1.48
Conceded goals: 0.94
Projected for this match: Barcelona 1.8 — 1.5 Real Madrid
Expected goals: Barcelona 1.8 — 1.5 Real Madrid

Likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19%
1-27.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS65.1%

Corners (90 min)

Barcelona5
Real Madrid5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Barcelona2
Real Madrid1.9
1H total1.2
2H total2.6

Second half

Barcelona
30%
Level
34%
Real Madrid
36%
Expected 2H goals Barcelona 0.83 — 0.93 Real Madrid

2H corners split

Expected total5.3
Barcelona2.6
Real Madrid2.7

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.6
Barcelona1.3
Real Madrid1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Barcelona
41%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Real Madrid
20%
Expected 1H goals Barcelona 0.84 — 0.5 Real Madrid · Over 0.5: Over (74%) · Over 1.5: Under (39%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.9
Barcelona2.4
Real Madrid2.5
O/U 4.5Over · 54%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Barcelona0.6
Real Madrid0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.6
Barcelona 2H1.3
Real Madrid 2H1.3

Ferrán Torres (0.41 xG) is Barcelona's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin (0.34 xG) is Real Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Barcelona · 5 listed

Lamine Yamaldoubt
1 · Knee
Rodriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Dani Olmodoubt
1 · Other
Jules Koundedoubt
1 · Ankle
Roony Bardghjiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Real Madrid · 5 listed

Vinicius Juniorsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Aurelien Tchouamenidoubt
1 · Muscle
Ferland Mendydoubt
1 · Hip
Rodrygoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Raul Asenciodoubt
1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Barcelona vs Real Madrid (La Liga). Model call: Barcelona to win match full time (55% / 25% / 20%).

Projected xG Barcelona 1.8 — 1.5 Real Madrid. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Barcelona. Barcelona home form +2.25; Real Madrid away form +0.54.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Rodri, Barcelona's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Vinicius Junior, Real Madrid's full-time attack is trimmed.