Ath Bilbao v 
Real Madrid
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
21%
10%
69%
1 · Ath Bilbao
21%
what the odds should be: 4.76
X · Draw
10%
what the odds should be: 10
2 · Real Madrid
69%
what the odds should be: 1.45
Expected goals — Ath Bilbao: 1.07 · Real Madrid: 2.2
Head-to-head — last 5 at Ath Bilbao (home)
L
2025-12-03
Ath Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid
W
2024-12-04
Ath Bilbao 2–1 Real Madrid
L
2023-08-12
Ath Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
L
2023-01-22
Ath Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
L
2021-12-22
Ath Bilbao 1–2 Real Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.63 → Real Madrid (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Ath Bilbao
Total4.5
1st half1.8
2nd half2.7
Real Madrid
Total3.6
1st half1.4
2nd half2.2
Yellow cards — per team physical
Ath Bilbao
Total1.3
1st half0.5
2nd half0.8
Real Madrid
Total1.7
1st half0.7
2nd half1
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Real Madrid to win match full time
Based on: Real Madrid's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Real Madrid (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Real Madrid; home advantage to Ath Bilbao.
Corners
Ath Bilbao to win corners 1st half
Ath Bilbao to win corners 2nd half
Ath Bilbao to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 1st half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards 2nd half
Real Madrid to win yellow cards full time