Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Head-to-head — last 5 at Sevilla (home)

W 2026-08-15 Sevilla 2–1 Vallecano

D 2026-03-08 Sevilla 1–1 Vallecano

W 2024-11-24 Sevilla 1–0 Vallecano

D 2023-10-07 Sevilla 2–2 Vallecano

L 2022-10-29 Sevilla 0–1 Vallecano

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Sevilla (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-11

HValencia

W

1–0

0–0

2026-08-29

HAth Madrid

L

1–3

0–0

2026-08-22

AAth Bilbao

W

3–1

3–10

5–2

0–1

2026-08-15

HVallecano

W

2–1

1–2

4–4

1–0

2026-05-23

ACelta

L

0–1

3–4

1–1

0–0

2026-05-17

HReal Madrid

L

0–1

4–4

4–0

0–0

2026-05-13

AVillarreal

W

3–2

4–6

1–2

0–0

2026-05-09

HEspanol

W

2–1

4–6

5–5

0–0

2026-05-04

HSociedad

W

1–0

3–3

3–1

0–0

2026-04-26

AOsasuna

L

1–2

4–4

2–2

0–0

2026-04-23

ALevante

L

0–2

6–3

4–3

0–0

2026-04-11

HAth Madrid

W

2–1

6–6

4–4

0–0

2026-04-05

AOviedo

L

0–1

9–5

3–5

1–0

2026-03-21

HValencia

L

0–2

1–3

2–1

0–0

2026-03-15

ABarcelona

L

2–5

4–3

1–0

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

AReal Madrid

L

1–4

0–0

2026-08-20

HAlaves

D

1–1

9–7

1–2

0–0

2026-08-15

ASevilla

L

1–2

2–1

4–4

0–1

2026-05-23

AAlaves

W

2–1

5–10

3–3

0–0

2026-05-17

HVillarreal

W

2–0

1–9

2–1

0–0

2026-05-14

AValencia

D

1–1

1–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-11

HGirona

D

1–1

9–5

1–1

0–0

2026-05-03

AGetafe

W

2–0

1–4

5–3

0–0

2026-04-26

HSociedad

D

3–3

6–4

1–0

2026-04-23

HEspanol

W

1–0

6–5

2–4

0–0

2026-04-12

AMallorca

L

0–3

7–6

4–1

0–0

2026-04-03

HElche

W

1–0

9–4

0–4

0–1

2026-03-22

ABarcelona

L

0–1

9–6

4–3

0–0

2026-03-16

HLevante

D

1–1

5–6

3–5

1–0

2026-03-08

ASevilla

D

1–1

2–6

3–1

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-08-15

HVallecano

W

2–1

1–2

4–4

1–0

2026-03-08

HVallecano

D

1–1

6–2

1–3

0–0

2025-09-28

AVallecano

W

1–0

4–12

2–3

0–1

2025-03-01

AVallecano

D

1–1

6–6

0–1

0–0

2024-11-24

HVallecano

W

1–0

8–3

2–5

0–1

2024-02-05

AVallecano

W

2–1

0–6

2–2

0–0

2023-10-07

HVallecano

D

2–2

12–2

5–2

0–0

2023-02-19

AVallecano

D

1–1

3–7

1–4

0–0

2022-10-29

HVallecano

L

0–1

6–6

6–1

0–0

2022-03-13

AVallecano

D

1–1

6–5

1–0

0–0

2021-08-15

HVallecano

W

3–0

4–0

1–0

0–1

2019-04-25

HVallecano

W

5–0

5–4

1–2

0–0

2018-08-19

AVallecano

W

4–1

6–2

0–1

0–0

2016-02-21

AVallecano

D

2–2

17–3

2–6

0–0

2015-09-26

HVallecano

W

3–2

6–5

1–2

0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Vallecano — higher 1H xG, SOT and possession

Sevilla

Vallecano

Possession %

39

48

xG

0.32

0.63

Shots

5.7

4.2

On target

1.1

1.7

Off target

2.8

2.0

Corners

2.0

1.5

Yellow cards

0.0

Red cards

0.0

Too close to call

Sevilla

Vallecano

Possession %

43

52

xG

0.37

0.68

Shots

7.0

7.2

On target

2.8

2.9

Off target

2.1

2.7

Corners

2.0

1.6

Yellow cards

4.0

2.1

Red cards

0.0

Full-time call

NO BET

1 · Sevilla

49%

X · Draw

31%

2 · Vallecano

20%

Sevilla at home

Expected goals: 1.22

Conceded goals: 1.11

Vallecano away

Expected goals: 0.94

Conceded goals: 1.5

Projected for this match: Sevilla 1.45 — 1.15 Vallecano

Expected goals: Sevilla 1.45 — 1.15 Vallecano

Likely scores

1-112.7%

1-010.4%

2-19%

Goals markets

Over 1.573.6%

Over 2.548.2%

Over 3.526.4%

BTTS52.6%

Corners (90 min)

Sevilla4.6

Vallecano4.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Sevilla2.8

Vallecano2.4

1H total1.7

2H total3.6

Second half

Sevilla

32%

Level

38%

Vallecano

30%

Expected 2H goals Sevilla 0.77 — 0.73 Vallecano

2H corners split

Expected total5

Sevilla2.4

Vallecano2.6

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.6

Sevilla1.9

Vallecano1.6

2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence

1H · Sevilla

23%

1H · Draw

45%

1H · Vallecano

32%

Expected 1H goals Sevilla 0.46 — 0.61 Vallecano · Over 0.5: Over (65%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.5

Sevilla2.2

Vallecano2.3

O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.7

Sevilla0.9

Vallecano0.8

O/U 1.5Even · 51%

2H expected total3.6

Sevilla 2H1.9

Vallecano 2H1.6

1H reds (exp.)0.1

Alfon (0.18 xG) is Sevilla's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Randy Nteka (0.38 xG), Vallecano's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Sevilla · 3 listed

Arouna Sangantesuspension

1 · Red card (direct)

Isaac Romerosuspension

1 · Red card (direct)

Ruben Vargasinjury

1 · Physical discom

Vallecano · 8 listed

Jorge de Frutossuspension

1 · Red card (direct)

Unai Lopezsuspension

1 · Yellow cards

Gnangoro Bouaredoubt

1 · Other

Jozhua Vertrouwddoubt

1 · Hamstring

Luiz Felipeinjury

1 · Thigh

Randy Ntekadoubt

1 · Muscle

Isi Palazoninjury

1 · Muscle

Augusto Batallainjury

1 · Lower leg

Match analysis

Sevilla vs Vallecano (La Liga). Model call: Sevilla to win match full time (49% / 31% / 20%).

Projected xG Sevilla 1.45 — 1.15 Vallecano. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Sevilla. Sevilla home form +0.11; Vallecano away form -0.56.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Ruben Vargas, Sevilla's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Unai Lopez, Vallecano's full-time chance creation is trimmed.