Valencia
v
Celta

La Liga · Sat 22 Aug · 19:30 · Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano

Head-to-head — last 5 at Valencia (home)

D 2026-08-22 Valencia 0–0 Celta
L 2026-04-05 Valencia 2–3 Celta
W 2025-02-02 Valencia 2–1 Celta
D 2023-11-25 Valencia 0–0 Celta
W 2022-09-17 Valencia 3–0 Celta
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Celta (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-11
ASevilla
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALa Coruna
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-25
HBetis
L
0–1
8–2
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HCelta
D
0–0
1–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-23
HBarcelona
W
3–1
7–8
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
ASociedad
W
4–3
2–3
0–4
1–0
2026-05-14
HVallecano
D
1–1
5–1
1–1
0–0
2026-05-10
AAth Bilbao
W
1–0
5–13
3–2
0–0
2026-05-02
HAth Madrid
L
0–2
1–7
1–3
0–0
2026-04-25
HGirona
W
2–1
4–4
2–2
0–0
2026-04-21
AMallorca
D
1–1
4–7
2–0
0–0
2026-04-11
AElche
L
0–1
9–5
1–1
0–0
2026-04-05
HCelta
L
2–3
6–0
1–3
0–0
2026-03-21
ASevilla
W
2–0
3–1
1–2
0–0
2026-03-14
AOviedo
L
0–1
7–4
2–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
HMalaga
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HAth Bilbao
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
HOsasuna
L
1–2
5–3
0–1
1–0
2026-08-22
AValencia
D
0–0
2–1
3–2
0–0
2026-05-23
HSevilla
W
1–0
4–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–5
2–2
0–0
2026-05-12
HLevante
L
2–3
4–4
0–2
0–0
2026-05-09
AAth Madrid
W
1–0
0–10
2–1
0–0
2026-05-03
HElche
W
3–1
4–2
2–1
0–0
2026-04-26
AVillarreal
L
1–2
5–7
6–3
0–0
2026-04-22
ABarcelona
L
0–1
3–5
1–1
0–0
2026-04-12
HOviedo
L
0–3
4–1
1–2
0–0
2026-04-05
AValencia
W
3–2
0–6
3–1
0–0
2026-03-22
HAlaves
L
3–4
4–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-22
HCelta
D
0–0
1–2
2–3
0–0
2026-04-05
HCelta
L
2–3
6–0
1–3
0–0
2026-01-03
ACelta
L
1–4
4–2
3–1
0–0
2025-02-02
HCelta
W
2–1
5–2
1–2
0–0
2024-08-23
ACelta
L
1–3
7–4
0–3
0–0
2024-05-26
ACelta
D
2–2
2–2
0–0
0–0
2023-11-25
HCelta
D
0–0
5–7
3–2
0–0
2023-05-14
ACelta
W
2–1
4–5
5–3
1–0
2022-09-17
HCelta
W
3–0
5–4
3–2
0–1
2022-05-21
HCelta
W
2–0
3–3
3–3
0–0
2021-12-05
ACelta
W
2–1
4–6
2–3
0–0
2021-02-20
HCelta
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–1
2020-09-19
ACelta
L
1–2
6–6
1–3
0–0
2020-02-01
HCelta
W
1–0
4–7
6–3
0–0
2019-08-24
ACelta
L
0–1
4–6
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Valencia
Celta
Possession %
40
43
xG
0.40
0.38
Shots
6.4
3.5
On target
1.7
1.7
Off target
2.6
0.9
Corners
3.6
0.0
Yellow cards
0.5
2.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Valencia — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Valencia
Celta
Possession %
33
41
xG
0.99
0.35
Shots
7.8
2.9
On target
2.7
1.3
Off target
3.2
0.5
Corners
2.5
0.0
Yellow cards
1.1
0.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

BET · UNDER 2 5 (68.2%)
1 · Valencia
39%
X · Draw
40%
2 · Celta
21%
Valencia at home
Expected goals: 1.18
Conceded goals: 1.16
Celta away
Expected goals: 1.05
Conceded goals: 0.94
Projected for this match: Valencia 1.03 — 0.96 Celta
Expected goals: Valencia 1.03 — 0.96 Celta

Likely scores

0-014.2%
1-113.9%
1-013.7%

Goals markets

Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514%
BTTS39.9%

Corners (90 min)

Valencia4.3
Celta3.8

Yellow cards (90 min)

Valencia1.7
Celta2
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Valencia
36%
Level
36%
Celta
28%
Expected 2H goals Valencia 0.88 — 0.74 Celta

2H corners split

Expected total4.9
Valencia2.6
Celta2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Valencia1.1
Celta1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Valencia
25%
1H · Draw
51%
1H · Celta
24%
Expected 1H goals Valencia 0.44 — 0.43 Celta · Over 0.5: Over (58%) · Over 1.5: Under (22%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.3
Valencia1.8
Celta1.5
O/U 3.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Valencia0.5
Celta0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Valencia 2H1.1
Celta 2H1.3

Without Mouctar Diakhaby (0.19 xG), Valencia's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Javier Rueda (0.15 xG) is Celta's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Valencia · 10 listed

Andre Almeidasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Cesar Tarregadoubt
1 · Other
Diego Lopezinjury
1 · Knee
Luis Riojadoubt
1 · Muscle
Mouctar Diakhabyinjury
1 · Thigh
Dimitri Foulquierdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Umar Sadiqinjury
1 · Hamstring
Guido Rodriguezinjury
1 · Muscle
Jose Copeteinjury
1 · Ankle
Sergi Canosinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Celta · 0 listed

None listed

Match analysis

Valencia vs Celta (La Liga). Model call: Draw (39% / 40% / 21%).

Valencia holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Valencia 1.03 — 0.96 Celta. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Celta.

First-half lean: Level. Without Andre Almeida, Valencia's full-time chance creation is trimmed.