Lazio
v
Parma

Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 20:45 · Referee: Alberto Arena

Head-to-head — last 5 at Lazio (home)

W 2026-10-24 Lazio 2–1 Parma
D 2026-04-04 Lazio 1–1 Parma
D 2025-04-28 Lazio 2–2 Parma
W 2021-05-12 Lazio 1–0 Parma
W 2019-09-22 Lazio 2–0 Parma
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Lazio (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ANapoli
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HCagliari
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ASassuolo
W
6–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AJuventus
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMonza
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HMilan
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HMilan
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HGenoa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HGenoa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
ABologna
W
1–0
6–8
4–4
0–0
2026-08-24
ABologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
AAtalanta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HUdinese
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HTorino
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AInter
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMonza
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-24
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-04
HParma
D
1–1
7–2
1–2
0–0
2025-12-13
AParma
W
1–0
4–4
1–2
2–0
2025-04-28
HParma
D
2–2
5–1
1–3
0–0
2024-12-01
AParma
L
1–3
10–4
3–4
0–0
2021-05-12
HParma
W
1–0
7–2
1–3
0–0
2021-01-10
AParma
W
2–0
6–5
1–4
0–0
2020-02-09
AParma
W
1–0
6–7
3–4
0–0
2019-09-22
HParma
W
2–0
10–5
1–3
0–0
2019-03-17
HParma
W
4–1
6–5
0–2
0–0
2018-10-21
AParma
W
2–0
8–2
3–2
0–0
2015-04-29
HParma
W
4–0
9–2
1–3
0–0
2014-12-07
AParma
W
2–1
3–1
4–4
0–0
2014-03-30
HParma
W
3–2
8–2
4–3
0–0
2013-11-10
AParma
D
1–1
10–4
2–2
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Lazio
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.3
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Lazio
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.1

Full-time call

BET · UNDER 2 5 (70.1%)
1 · Lazio
53%
X · Draw
35%
2 · Parma
12%
Lazio at home
Expected goals: 1.35
Conceded goals: 1.54
Parma away
Expected goals: 0.63
Conceded goals: 1.16
Projected for this match: Lazio 1.16 — 0.75 Parma
Expected goals: Lazio 1.16 — 0.75 Parma

Likely scores

1-016.8%
0-015.2%
1-113.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
BTTS36.6%

Corners (90 min)

Lazio4.8
Parma4.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Lazio2
Parma1.7
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Lazio
41%
Level
39%
Parma
20%
Expected 2H goals Lazio 0.83 — 0.5 Parma

2H corners split

Expected total4.7
Lazio2.5
Parma2.2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Lazio1.3
Parma1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Lazio
19%
1H · Draw
53%
1H · Parma
28%
Expected 1H goals Lazio 0.33 — 0.45 Parma · Over 0.5: Over (54%) · Over 1.5: Under (19%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.3
Lazio2.3
Parma2.1
O/U 4.5Under · 57%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Lazio0.6
Parma0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Lazio 2H1.3
Parma 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Gila (0.49 xG) is Lazio's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Lazio · 9 listed

Albert Gudmundssondoubt
1 · Shoulder
Davide Frattesidoubt
1 · Groin
Nicolo Rovellasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Kenneth Taylorsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Nuno Tavaressuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Nuno Tavaresinjury
1 · Lower leg
Adam Marusicdoubt
1 · Hamstring
Mattia Zaccagnidoubt
1 · Thigh
Alessio Furlanettoinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Parma · 4 listed

Abdoulaye N'Diayesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
David Romerodoubt
1 · Shoulder
Adrian Bernabedoubt
1 · Muscle
Lautaro Valentisuspension
1 · Banned by club

Match analysis

Lazio vs Parma (Serie A). Model call: Lazio to win match full time (53% / 35% / 12%).

Lazio holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Lazio 1.16 — 0.75 Parma. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Lazio. Lazio home form -0.19; Parma away form -0.53.

First-half lean: Level. Without Nicolo Rovella, Lazio's full-time chance creation is trimmed.