Inter
v
Parma

Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 · Referee: Kevin Bonacina

Head-to-head — last 5 at Inter (home)

W 2026-10-10 Inter 3–0 Parma
W 2026-05-03 Inter 2–0 Parma
W 2024-12-06 Inter 3–1 Parma
D 2020-10-31 Inter 2–2 Parma
D 2019-10-26 Inter 2–2 Parma
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.28 → Inter (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HComo
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMilan
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABologna
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HParma
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ARoma
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HNapoli
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-23
ABologna
D
3–3
4–1
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
AAtalanta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HUdinese
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ALazio
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HTorino
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AInter
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMonza
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-10
HParma
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-03
HParma
W
2–0
8–3
1–0
0–0
2026-01-07
AParma
W
2–0
3–1
3–0
0–0
2025-04-05
AParma
D
2–2
4–2
3–2
0–0
2024-12-06
HParma
W
3–1
10–1
1–1
0–0
2021-03-04
AParma
W
2–1
2–2
1–0
0–0
2020-10-31
HParma
D
2–2
15–2
1–1
0–0
2020-06-28
AParma
W
2–1
8–1
4–3
1–1
2019-10-26
HParma
D
2–2
11–4
3–2
0–0
2019-02-09
AParma
W
1–0
10–2
2–2
0–0
2018-09-15
HParma
L
0–1
10–1
2–2
0–0
2015-04-04
HParma
D
1–1
5–2
2–0
0–0
2014-11-01
AParma
L
0–2
2–5
1–3
0–0
2014-04-19
AParma
W
2–0
5–6
3–1
0–1
2013-12-08
HParma
D
3–3
3–11
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Inter
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.6
1.6
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Inter
Parma
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.8
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
1.1
1.0
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

BET · HOME (82.7%)
1 · Inter
83%
X · Draw
12%
2 · Parma
5%
Inter at home
Expected goals: 2.71
Conceded goals: 0.86
Parma away
Expected goals: 0.63
Conceded goals: 1.16
Projected for this match: Inter 2.1 — 0.69 Parma
Expected goals: Inter 2.1 — 0.69 Parma

Likely scores

2-013.6%
1-012.6%
3-09.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.577%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS44%

Corners (90 min)

Inter5.3
Parma3.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Inter1.7
Parma1.4
1H total1
2H total2.1

Second half

Inter
54%
Level
30%
Parma
16%
Expected 2H goals Inter 1.26 — 0.54 Parma

2H corners split

Expected total4.5
Inter2.8
Parma1.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.1
Inter1.1
Parma1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Inter
36%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Parma
18%
Expected 1H goals Inter 0.64 — 0.37 Parma · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (27%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Inter2.6
Parma1.6
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Inter0.5
Parma0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.1
Inter 2H1.1
Parma 2H1

Marcus Thuram (0.42 xG) is Inter's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Inter · 4 listed

Ange-Yoan Bonnyinjury
1 · Muscle
Aleksandar Stankovicdoubt
1 · Groin
Luis Henriquedoubt
1 · Thigh
Lautaro Martinezinjury
1 · Thigh

Parma · 4 listed

Abdoulaye N'Diayesuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
David Romerodoubt
1 · Shoulder
Adrian Bernabedoubt
1 · Muscle
Lautaro Valentisuspension
1 · Banned by club

Match analysis

Inter vs Parma (Serie A). Model call: Inter to win match full time (83% / 12% / 5%).

Inter holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Inter 2.1 — 0.69 Parma. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Inter. Inter home form +1.85; Parma away form -0.53.

First-half lean: Level. Without Ange-Yoan Bonny, Inter's full-time attack is trimmed.