Marseille v Paris FC

Result

45%

28%

27%

1 · Marseille

45%

what the odds should be: 2.22

X · Draw

28%

what the odds should be: 3.57

2 · Paris FC

27%

what the odds should be: 3.7

Expected goals — Marseille: 1.23 · Paris FC: 1.57

Head-to-head — last 1 at Marseille (home)

W 2025-08-23 Marseille 5–2 Paris FC

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.46 → Marseille (2 meetings on file)

Corners — per team

Marseille

Total4.4

1st half1.8

2nd half2.7

Paris FC

Total5.1

1st half2.1

2nd half3.1

Yellow cards — per team physical

Marseille

Total2

1st half0.8

2nd half1.2

Paris FC

Total2.1

1st half0.9

2nd half1.3

No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.

Our model's call

Marseille to win match full time

Based on: Marseille's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Marseille (2 meetings on file); expected goals favour Paris FC; home advantage to Marseille.

Corners

Paris FC to win corners 1st half

Paris FC to win corners 2nd half

Paris FC to win corners full time

Yellow cards

Paris FC to win yellow cards 1st half

Paris FC to win yellow cards 2nd half

Paris FC to win yellow cards full time