Leeds v 
Newcastle
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
42%
38%
20%
1 · Leeds
42%
what the odds should be: 2.38
X · Draw
38%
what the odds should be: 2.63
2 · Newcastle
20%
what the odds should be: 5
Expected goals — Leeds: 1.17 · Newcastle: 1.43
Head-to-head — last 4 at Leeds (home)
D
2025-08-30
Leeds 0–0 Newcastle
D
2023-05-13
Leeds 2–2 Newcastle
L
2022-01-22
Leeds 0–1 Newcastle
W
2020-12-16
Leeds 5–2 Newcastle
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.54 → Newcastle (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Leeds
Total4.4
1st half1.8
2nd half2.6
Newcastle
Total6.4
1st half2.7
2nd half3.7
Yellow cards — per team
Leeds
Total2.2
1st half0.9
2nd half1.3
Newcastle
Total1.3
1st half0.6
2nd half0.8
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Leeds to win match full time
Based on: Leeds's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Newcastle (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Newcastle; home advantage to Leeds.
Corners
Newcastle to win corners 1st half
Newcastle to win corners 2nd half
Newcastle to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Leeds to win yellow cards 1st half
Leeds to win yellow cards 2nd half
Leeds to win yellow cards full time