Crystal Palace
v
Newcastle

Premier League · Sun 25 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: Paul Tierney

Head-to-head — last 5 at Crystal Palace (home)

L 2026-10-25 Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
W 2026-04-12 Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle
D 2024-11-30 Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle
W 2024-04-24 Crystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle
D 2023-01-21 Crystal Palace 0–0 Newcastle
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Crystal Palace (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLiverpool
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ATottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HNott'm Forest
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ALeeds
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–4
1–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HArsenal
L
1–2
3–4
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ABrentford
D
2–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HEverton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ACrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAston Villa
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
ACoventry
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HHull
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HBournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
2–6
5–3
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AFulham
L
0–2
6–6
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HWest Ham
W
3–1
9–1
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-12
HNewcastle
W
2–1
2–4
0–3
0–0
2026-01-04
ANewcastle
L
0–2
6–8
3–1
0–0
2025-04-16
ANewcastle
L
0–5
4–5
3–2
0–0
2024-11-30
HNewcastle
D
1–1
8–9
3–3
0–0
2024-04-24
HNewcastle
W
2–0
7–2
3–3
0–0
2023-10-21
ANewcastle
L
0–4
8–6
3–2
0–0
2023-01-21
HNewcastle
D
0–0
3–15
4–2
0–0
2022-09-03
ANewcastle
D
0–0
5–13
1–2
0–0
2022-04-20
ANewcastle
L
0–1
5–2
1–1
0–0
2021-10-23
HNewcastle
D
1–1
3–7
3–4
0–0
2021-02-02
ANewcastle
W
2–1
1–9
3–1
0–0
2020-11-27
HNewcastle
L
0–2
7–3
2–2
0–0
2020-02-22
HNewcastle
W
1–0
7–5
2–6
0–1
2019-12-21
ANewcastle
L
0–1
5–4
0–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Newcastle — higher 1H possession and corners
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Possession %
45
52
xG
0.66
0.50
Shots
5.1
4.9
On target
1.7
1.8
Off target
2.1
1.8
Corners
1.5
2.0
Yellow cards
0.5
0.1
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Crystal Palace — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Possession %
56
54
xG
1.21
0.51
Shots
7.9
6.3
On target
2.6
1.9
Off target
2.7
2.0
Corners
2.8
2.1
Yellow cards
0.5
1.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Crystal Palace
25%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Newcastle
42%
Crystal Palace at home
Expected goals: 1.04
Conceded goals: 1.26
Newcastle away
Expected goals: 0.83
Conceded goals: 1.38
Projected for this match: Crystal Palace 1.1 — 1.55 Newcastle
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.1 — 1.55 Newcastle

Likely scores

1-112.4%
0-110.6%
1-29.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS52.9%

Corners (90 min)

Crystal Palace4.2
Newcastle5.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Crystal Palace2.2
Newcastle1.7
1H total0.9
2H total2.9
Tierney averages 3.4 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Crystal Palace
33%
Level
38%
Newcastle
29%
Expected 2H goals Crystal Palace 0.77 — 0.7 Newcastle

2H corners

Expected total5.4
Crystal Palace2.4
Newcastle3.1

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.9
Crystal Palace1.7
Newcastle1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Crystal Palace
18%
1H · Draw
37%
1H · Newcastle
45%
Expected 1H goals Crystal Palace 0.48 — 0.93 Newcastle · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (41%)

1H corners

Expected total4
Crystal Palace1.8
Newcastle2.2
O/U 3.5Over · 57%

1H yellow cards

Expected total0.9
Crystal Palace0.5
Newcastle0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 77%
2H expected total2.9
Crystal Palace 2H1.7
Newcastle 2H1.2
Tierney averages 1.1 yellows before HT, around the usual 1H card pace.
Tierney averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Jean-Philippe Mateta (0.26 xG), Crystal Palace's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Crystal Palace · 5 listed

Jean-Philippe Matetasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
J. Strand Larsendoubt
1 · Ankle
Ismaila Sarrinjury
1 · Groin
Takehiro Tomiyasuinjury
1 · Calf
Chadi Riadinjury
1 · Knee

Newcastle · 3 listed

Jacob Ramseysuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Joelintoninjury
1 · Other
Ewen Jaoueninjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle (Premier League). Model call: Newcastle to win match full time (25% / 33% / 42%).

Newcastle holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Crystal Palace 1.1 — 1.55 Newcastle. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace home form -0.21; Newcastle away form -0.55.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jean-Philippe Mateta, Crystal Palace's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Jacob Ramsey, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed.