Coventry
v
Newcastle

Premier League · Mon 12 Oct · 21:00 · Referee: John Brooks

Head-to-head — last 1 at Coventry (home)

W 2026-10-12 Coventry 4–1 Newcastle
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Coventry (0 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
AEverton
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HSunderland
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HFulham
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
ATottenham
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HBrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HBrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HHull
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HHull
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-21
AArsenal
L
0–3
2–8
1–1
0–0
2026-08-21
AArsenal
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HEverton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ACrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAston Villa
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
ACoventry
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HHull
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HBournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
2–6
5–3
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AFulham
L
0–2
6–6
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HWest Ham
W
3–1
9–1
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-12
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Coventry
Newcastle
Possession %
—
52
xG
—
0.50
Shots
—
4.9
On target
—
1.8
Off target
—
1.8
Corners (est.)
1.6
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Coventry
Newcastle
Possession %
—
54
xG
—
0.51
Shots
—
6.3
On target
—
1.9
Off target
—
2.0
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.8
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Coventry
12%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Newcastle
63%
Coventry at home
Expected goals: 1.35
Conceded goals: 1.35
Newcastle away
Expected goals: 0.83
Conceded goals: 1.38
Projected for this match: Coventry 0.83 — 1.82 Newcastle
Expected goals: Coventry 0.83 — 1.82 Newcastle

Likely scores

0-112.6%
0-211.7%
1-111%

Goals markets

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS47.5%

Corners (90 min)

Coventry3.4
Newcastle6.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Coventry1.8
Newcastle1.6
1H total1.1
2H total2.3
Brooks averages 4.3 yellows a match, which lifts the full-time card line.

Second half

Coventry
21%
Level
39%
Newcastle
40%
Expected 2H goals Coventry 0.52 — 0.82 Newcastle

2H corners split

Expected total5
Coventry1.7
Newcastle3.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.3
Coventry1.2
Newcastle1.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Coventry
7%
1H · Draw
27%
1H · Newcastle
66%
Expected 1H goals Coventry 0.27 — 1.4 Newcastle · Over 0.5: Over (81%) · Over 1.5: Under (50%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.6
Coventry1.6
Newcastle3
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Coventry0.6
Newcastle0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Coventry 2H1.2
Newcastle 2H1.1
Brooks averages 1.6 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Brooks averages 2.2 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Coventry · 7 listed

Frank Onyekadoubt
1 · Other
Frank Onyekadoubt
1 · Other
Bobby Thomasdoubt
1 · Calf
Luke Woolfendeninjury
1 · Knee
Josh Ecclesinjury
1 · Other
Haji Wrightinjury
1 · Thigh
Aurele Amendainjury
1 · Calf

Newcastle · 3 listed

Jacob Ramseysuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Joelintoninjury
1 · Other
Ewen Jaoueninjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Coventry vs Newcastle (Premier League). Model call: Newcastle to win match full time (12% / 25% / 63%).

Newcastle holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Coventry 0.83 — 1.82 Newcastle. Coventry home form +0; Newcastle away form -0.55.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Josh Eccles, Coventry's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jacob Ramsey, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed.