Parma
v
Monza

Serie A · Sun 6 Sep · 15:00 · Referee: Federico La Penna

Head-to-head — last 1 at Parma (home)

W 2024-12-28 Parma 2–1 Monza
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Parma (2 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
AComo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
AJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCagliari
L
0–1
3–2
0–2
0–0
2026-05-24
HSassuolo
W
1–0
1–1
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AComo
L
0–1
2–15
0–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HRoma
L
2–3
3–6
4–0
1–0
2026-05-03
AInter
L
0–2
3–8
0–1
0–0
2026-04-25
HPisa
W
1–0
7–4
1–2
0–0
2026-04-18
AUdinese
W
1–0
5–10
0–2
0–0
2026-04-12
HNapoli
D
1–1
3–7
1–0
0–0
2026-04-04
ALazio
D
1–1
2–7
2–1
0–0
2026-03-21
HCremonese
L
0–2
3–1
3–3
0–0
2026-03-13
ATorino
L
1–4
7–2
3–1
0–0
2026-03-08
AFiorentina
D
0–0
1–7
0–2
0–0
2026-02-27
HCagliari
D
1–1
6–3
2–4
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
2025-05-18
HEmpoli
L
1–3
2–6
0–1
0–0
2025-05-11
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–7
3–2
0–0
2025-05-04
HAtalanta
L
0–4
3–7
1–2
0–0
2025-04-27
AJuventus
L
0–2
5–0
3–3
0–1
2025-04-19
HNapoli
L
0–1
6–7
4–2
0–0
2025-04-12
AVenezia
L
0–1
4–3
3–5
0–1
2025-04-05
HComo
L
1–3
2–2
2–1
0–0
2025-03-30
ACagliari
L
0–3
6–4
2–2
0–0
2025-03-15
HParma
D
1–1
6–3
0–3
0–0
2025-03-08
AInter
L
2–3
1–13
1–0
0–0
2025-03-02
HTorino
L
0–2
1–4
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2025-03-15
AMonza
D
1–1
3–6
3–0
0–0
2024-12-28
HMonza
W
2–1
4–6
3–7
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Parma
Monza
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Parma
Monza
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Parma
56%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Monza
14%
Parma at home
Expected goals: 0.83
Conceded goals: 1.25
Monza away
Expected goals: 0.72
Conceded goals: 2.37
Projected for this match: Parma 1.42 — 0.93 Monza
Expected goals: Parma 1.42 — 0.93 Monza

Likely scores

1-013.2%
1-113%
0-010%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS46.1%

Corners (90 min)

Parma4.2
Monza4.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Parma1.5
Monza1.7
1H total1
2H total2.2

Second half

Parma
49%
Level
33%
Monza
18%
Expected 2H goals Parma 1.13 — 0.56 Monza

2H corners split

Expected total4.5
Parma2.2
Monza2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.2
Parma1
Monza1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Parma
27%
1H · Draw
54%
1H · Monza
19%
Expected 1H goals Parma 0.43 — 0.33 Monza · Over 0.5: Over (53%) · Over 1.5: Under (18%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Parma2
Monza2.1
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1
Parma0.5
Monza0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total2.2
Parma 2H1
Monza 2H1.2

Gabriel Strefezza (0.25 xG) is Parma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Parma · 1 listed

H. N. Cavigliadoubt
1 · Thigh

Monza · 2 listed

Patrick Ciurriadoubt
1 · Other
Matteo Pessinainjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Parma vs Monza (Serie A). Model call: Parma to win match full time (56% / 30% / 14%).

Parma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Parma 1.42 — 0.93 Monza. H2H (2 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Parma. Parma home form -0.42; Monza away form -1.65.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Matteo Pessina, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed.