Laziov
Monza
Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Giuseppe Collu
Head-to-head — last 4 at Lazio (home)
W
2026-10-11
Lazio 3–1 Monza
W
2025-02-09
Lazio 5–1 Monza
D
2023-09-23
Lazio 1–1 Monza
W
2022-11-10
Lazio 1–0 Monza
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.21 → Lazio (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ANapoli
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HCagliari
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
ASassuolo
W
6–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AJuventus
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMonza
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HMilan
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HMilan
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
AUdinese
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HGenoa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HGenoa
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
ABologna
W
1–0
6–8
4–4
0–0
2026-08-24
ABologna
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HNapoli
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-23
ATorino
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
HCagliari
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALazio
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HSassuolo
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ALecce
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AParma
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HUdinese
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AInter
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-05-24
AMilan
L
0–2
6–4
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HMonza
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2025-02-09
HMonza
W
5–1
8–1
0–1
0–0
2024-11-10
AMonza
W
1–0
6–6
1–5
0–0
2024-05-04
AMonza
D
2–2
4–5
7–1
0–0
2023-09-23
HMonza
D
1–1
1–3
2–2
0–0
2023-04-02
AMonza
W
2–0
3–8
2–5
0–0
2022-11-10
HMonza
W
1–0
4–3
2–1
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
Too close to call
Lazio
MonzaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.1
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Lazio
MonzaPossession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.3
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.4
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Lazio
69%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Monza
9%
Lazio at home
Expected goals: 1.35
Conceded goals: 1.54
Monza away
Expected goals: 0.72
Conceded goals: 2.37
Projected for this match: Lazio 1.68 — 0.85 Monza
Expected goals: Lazio 1.68 — 0.85 Monza
Likely scores
1-013%
1-111.7%
2-011.2%
Goals markets
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS47%
Corners (90 min)
Lazio4.4
Monza4.2
Yellow cards (90 min)
Lazio2
Monza1.9
1H total1.3
2H total2.7
Second half
Lazio
60%
Level
30%
Monza
10%
2H corners split
Expected total4.5
Lazio2.3
Monza2.2
2H yellow cards split
Expected total2.7
Lazio1.4
Monza1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Lazio
27%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Monza
28%
1H corners split
Expected total4.1
Lazio2.1
Monza2
O/U 3.5Over · 59%
1H yellow cards split
Expected total1.3
Lazio0.6
Monza0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.7
Lazio 2H1.4
Monza 2H1.3
1H reds (exp.)0.1
Mario Gila (0.49 xG) is Lazio's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Lazio · 9 listed
Albert Gudmundssondoubt
Davide Frattesidoubt
Nicolo Rovellasuspension
Kenneth Taylorsuspension
Nuno Tavaressuspension
Nuno Tavaresinjury
Adam Marusicdoubt
Mattia Zaccagnidoubt
Alessio Furlanettoinjury
Monza · 2 listed
Ivan Juricsuspension
Samuele Birindellidoubt
Match analysis
Lazio vs Monza (Serie A). Model call: Lazio to win match full time (69% / 22% / 9%).
Lazio holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Lazio 1.68 — 0.85 Monza. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Lazio. Lazio home form -0.19; Monza away form -1.65.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Nicolo Rovella, Lazio's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Ivan Juric, Monza's full-time chance creation is trimmed.