Torino
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 20:45 · Referee: Luca Zufferli

Head-to-head — last 5 at Torino (home)

L 2026-08-23 Torino 1–2 Milan
L 2025-12-08 Torino 2–3 Milan
W 2025-02-22 Torino 2–1 Milan
W 2024-05-18 Torino 3–1 Milan
W 2022-10-30 Torino 2–1 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Milan (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HRoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASassuolo
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HMilan
L
1–2
2–4
0–1
0–0
2026-05-24
HJuventus
D
2–2
6–6
1–2
0–0
2026-05-17
ACagliari
L
1–2
1–5
1–1
0–0
2026-05-08
HSassuolo
W
2–1
7–5
4–2
0–0
2026-05-02
AUdinese
L
0–2
2–5
1–1
0–0
2026-04-26
HInter
D
2–2
5–5
1–2
0–0
2026-04-19
ACremonese
D
0–0
1–6
3–0
0–0
2026-04-11
HVerona
W
2–1
3–6
1–4
0–0
2026-04-05
APisa
W
1–0
2–1
0–1
0–0
2026-03-21
AMilan
L
2–3
6–4
1–3
0–0
2026-03-13
HParma
W
4–1
2–7
1–3
0–0
2026-03-06
ANapoli
L
1–2
2–11
3–0
0–0
2026-03-01
HLazio
W
2–0
6–9
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AGenoa
W
2–1
4–4
3–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HAtalanta
L
2–3
2–2
3–3
0–0
2026-05-03
ASassuolo
L
0–2
3–2
4–4
1–0
2026-04-26
HJuventus
D
0–0
1–3
2–3
0–0
2026-04-19
AVerona
W
1–0
1–6
0–2
0–0
2026-04-11
HUdinese
L
0–3
4–3
1–1
0–0
2026-04-06
ANapoli
L
0–1
3–4
0–2
0–0
2026-03-21
HTorino
W
3–2
4–6
3–1
0–0
2026-03-15
ALazio
L
0–1
9–1
1–4
0–0
2026-03-08
HInter
W
1–0
1–6
2–2
0–0
2026-03-01
ACremonese
W
2–0
7–6
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-23
HMilan
L
1–2
2–4
0–1
0–0
2026-03-21
AMilan
L
2–3
6–4
1–3
0–0
2025-12-08
HMilan
L
2–3
2–4
2–1
0–0
2025-02-22
HMilan
W
2–1
4–11
1–1
0–0
2024-08-17
AMilan
D
2–2
2–9
4–2
0–0
2024-05-18
HMilan
W
3–1
3–8
1–1
0–0
2023-08-26
AMilan
L
1–4
1–2
3–2
0–0
2023-02-10
AMilan
L
0–1
8–3
4–1
0–0
2022-10-30
HMilan
W
2–1
6–1
5–2
0–0
2022-04-10
HMilan
D
0–0
6–5
2–2
0–0
2021-10-26
AMilan
L
0–1
5–2
3–3
0–0
2021-05-12
HMilan
L
0–7
2–3
2–1
0–0
2021-01-09
AMilan
L
0–2
5–7
2–6
0–0
2020-02-17
AMilan
L
0–1
5–9
3–3
0–0
2019-09-26
HMilan
W
2–1
3–5
4–5
0–1

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Torino
Milan
Possession %
xG
Shots
On target
Off target
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Torino
Milan
Possession %
xG
Shots
On target
Off target
Corners (est.)
1.8
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Torino
24%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Milan
45%
Torino at home
Expected goals: 1.63
Conceded goals: 1.52
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Torino 1.15 — 1.55 Milan
Expected goals: Torino 1.15 — 1.55 Milan

Likely scores

1-112.3%
0-110%
1-29.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS54.3%

Corners (90 min)

Torino3.5
Milan4.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Torino1.8
Milan1.7
1H total1.1
2H total2.3

Second half

Torino
32%
Level
34%
Milan
34%
Expected 2H goals Torino 0.86 — 0.89 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4.1
Torino1.8
Milan2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.3
Torino1.2
Milan1.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Torino
23%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Milan
29%
Expected 1H goals Torino 0.44 — 0.52 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (62%) · Over 1.5: Under (25%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.8
Torino1.7
Milan2.1
O/U 3.5Over · 53%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Torino0.6
Milan0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Torino 2H1.2
Milan 2H1.1

Alieu Njie (0.37 xG) is Torino's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Torino · 5 listed

Cyril Ngongedoubt
1 · Other
Luca Marianucciinjury
1 · Knee
Che Adamsdoubt
1 · Thigh
Cesare Casadeidoubt
1 · Muscle
Franco Israelinjury
1 · Shoulder

Milan · 1 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)

Match analysis

Torino vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Milan to win match full time (24% / 31% / 45%).

Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Torino 1.15 — 1.55 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Torino home form +0.11; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.