Juventus
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 6 Sep · 20:45 · Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Head-to-head — last 5 at Juventus (home)

D 2025-10-05 Juventus 0–0 Milan
W 2025-01-18 Juventus 2–0 Milan
D 2024-04-27 Juventus 0–0 Milan
L 2023-05-28 Juventus 0–1 Milan
D 2021-09-19 Juventus 1–1 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Juventus (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ASassuolo
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HParma
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AFrosinone
W
1–0
12–3
2–2
0–0
2026-05-24
ATorino
D
2–2
6–6
2–1
0–0
2026-05-17
HFiorentina
L
0–2
6–2
1–3
0–1
2026-05-09
ALecce
W
1–0
7–1
1–1
0–0
2026-05-03
HVerona
D
1–1
14–1
1–4
0–0
2026-04-26
AMilan
D
0–0
3–1
3–2
0–0
2026-04-19
HBologna
W
2–0
6–1
1–0
0–0
2026-04-11
AAtalanta
W
1–0
2–13
3–1
0–0
2026-04-06
HGenoa
W
2–0
5–5
4–1
0–0
2026-03-21
HSassuolo
D
1–1
9–4
1–2
0–0
2026-03-14
AUdinese
W
1–0
6–2
1–3
0–0
2026-03-07
HPisa
W
4–0
4–4
1–3
0–0
2026-03-01
ARoma
D
3–3
1–4
0–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AGenoa
W
2–1
4–4
3–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HAtalanta
L
2–3
2–2
3–3
0–0
2026-05-03
ASassuolo
L
0–2
3–2
4–4
1–0
2026-04-26
HJuventus
D
0–0
1–3
2–3
0–0
2026-04-19
AVerona
W
1–0
1–6
0–2
0–0
2026-04-11
HUdinese
L
0–3
4–3
1–1
0–0
2026-04-06
ANapoli
L
0–1
3–4
0–2
0–0
2026-03-21
HTorino
W
3–2
4–6
3–1
0–0
2026-03-15
ALazio
L
0–1
9–1
1–4
0–0
2026-03-08
HInter
W
1–0
1–6
2–2
0–0
2026-03-01
ACremonese
W
2–0
7–6
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-04-26
AMilan
D
0–0
3–1
3–2
0–0
2025-10-05
HMilan
D
0–0
6–0
2–2
0–0
2025-01-18
HMilan
W
2–0
5–5
0–2
0–0
2024-11-23
AMilan
D
0–0
4–2
2–3
0–0
2024-04-27
HMilan
D
0–0
9–4
0–1
0–0
2023-10-22
AMilan
W
1–0
3–6
4–1
0–1
2023-05-28
HMilan
L
0–1
4–5
1–2
0–0
2022-10-08
AMilan
L
0–2
3–9
3–2
0–0
2022-01-23
AMilan
D
0–0
1–4
2–2
0–0
2021-09-19
HMilan
D
1–1
4–4
1–1
0–0
2021-05-09
HMilan
L
0–3
8–2
2–2
0–0
2021-01-06
AMilan
W
3–1
4–7
2–1
0–0
2020-07-07
AMilan
L
2–4
6–2
1–4
0–0
2019-11-10
HMilan
W
1–0
5–5
1–5
0–0
2019-04-06
HMilan
W
2–1
5–8
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Juventus
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.5
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Juventus
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.7
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.2
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Juventus
49%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Milan
18%
Juventus at home
Expected goals: 1.67
Conceded goals: 0.85
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Juventus 1.22 — 1.12 Milan
Expected goals: Juventus 1.22 — 1.12 Milan

Likely scores

1-113.6%
1-011.3%
0-110.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS47.9%

Corners (90 min)

Juventus5.2
Milan3.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Juventus1.8
Milan1.8
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Juventus
30%
Level
39%
Milan
31%
Expected 2H goals Juventus 0.69 — 0.71 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4.5
Juventus2.7
Milan1.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Juventus1.2
Milan1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Juventus
37%
1H · Draw
48%
1H · Milan
15%
Expected 1H goals Juventus 0.63 — 0.3 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (60%) · Over 1.5: Under (24%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Juventus2.5
Milan1.7
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Juventus0.6
Milan0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Juventus 2H1.2
Milan 2H1.2

Dusan Vlahovic (0.53 xG) is Juventus' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Juventus · 8 listed

Gleison Bremersuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Jeremie Bogainjury
1 · Hamstring
Juan Cabaldoubt
1 · Muscle
Weston McKenniedoubt
1 · Physical discom
Manuel Locatelliinjury
1 · Knee
Arkadiusz Milikdoubt
1 · Other
Kenan Yildizinjury
1 · Foot
Andrea Cambiasodoubt
1 · Ankle

Milan · 1 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)

Match analysis

Juventus vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Juventus to win match full time (49% / 33% / 18%).

Juventus holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Juventus 1.22 — 1.12 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Juventus. Juventus home form +0.82; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Manuel Locatelli, Juventus' full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.