Genoa
v
Milan

Serie A · Sun 8 Nov · 16:00 · Referee: Davide Massa

Head-to-head — last 5 at Genoa (home)

L 2026-11-08 Genoa 1–2 Milan
L 2026-05-17 Genoa 1–2 Milan
L 2025-05-05 Genoa 1–2 Milan
L 2023-10-07 Genoa 0–1 Milan
L 2021-12-01 Genoa 0–3 Milan
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Milan (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALecce
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HJuventus
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HVenezia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ARoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AParma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
HComo
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALecce
L
0–1
6–1
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HBologna
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AUdinese
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAtalanta
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASassuolo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLecce
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HMilan
L
1–2
4–4
2–3
0–0
2026-01-08
AMilan
D
1–1
1–12
1–4
0–0
2025-05-05
HMilan
L
1–2
8–7
1–5
0–0
2024-12-15
AMilan
D
0–0
2–9
2–0
0–0
2024-05-05
AMilan
D
3–3
1–7
1–1
0–0
2023-10-07
HMilan
L
0–1
3–2
3–5
1–1
2022-04-15
AMilan
L
0–2
1–3
2–1
0–0
2021-12-01
HMilan
L
0–3
2–6
2–1
0–0
2021-04-18
AMilan
L
1–2
4–5
1–0
0–0
2020-12-16
HMilan
D
2–2
4–10
2–3
0–0
2020-03-08
AMilan
W
2–1
5–7
0–0
1–0
2019-10-05
HMilan
L
1–2
7–0
4–4
2–2
2019-01-21
HMilan
L
0–2
5–6
3–3
0–0
2018-10-31
AMilan
L
1–2
2–7
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Genoa
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
1.8
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.7
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Genoa
Milan
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
2.0
Yellow cards (est.)
1.1
1.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Genoa
18%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Milan
49%
Genoa at home
Expected goals: 1.15
Conceded goals: 1.53
Milan away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 0.85
Projected for this match: Genoa 0.81 — 1.4 Milan
Expected goals: Genoa 0.81 — 1.4 Milan

Likely scores

0-115%
1-112.8%
0-011.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS42.1%

Corners (90 min)

Genoa3.9
Milan3.8

Yellow cards (90 min)

Genoa1.6
Milan2.1
1H total1.2
2H total2.5

Second half

Genoa
24%
Level
38%
Milan
38%
Expected 2H goals Genoa 0.61 — 0.84 Milan

2H corners split

Expected total4
Genoa2
Milan2

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.5
Genoa1.1
Milan1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Genoa
24%
1H · Draw
54%
1H · Milan
22%
Expected 1H goals Genoa 0.39 — 0.37 Milan · Over 0.5: Over (53%) · Over 1.5: Under (18%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.7
Genoa1.9
Milan1.8
O/U 3.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.2
Genoa0.5
Milan0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.5
Genoa 2H1.1
Milan 2H1.4

Leo Østigard (0.10 xG) is Genoa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Genoa · 2 listed

Morten Frendrupdoubt
1 · Ankle
Joi Xheto Nurediniinjury
1 · Other

Milan · 7 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Strahinja Pavlovicdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Samuel Chukwuezeinjury
1 · Hip
Fikayo Tomoriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Ruben Loftus-Cheekdoubt
1 · Thigh
Matteo Gabbiainjury
1 · Other
Pietro Terraccianodoubt
1 · Shoulder

Match analysis

Genoa vs Milan (Serie A). Model call: Milan to win match full time (18% / 33% / 49%).

Milan holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Genoa 0.81 — 1.4 Milan. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Genoa home form -0.38; Milan away form +0.53.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joi Xheto Nuredini, Genoa's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well.