Leeds
v
Man United

Premier League · Sun 18 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Darren England

Head-to-head — last 5 at Leeds (home)

D 2026-10-18 Leeds 1–1 Man United
D 2026-01-04 Leeds 1–1 Man United
L 2023-02-12 Leeds 0–2 Man United
L 2022-02-20 Leeds 2–4 Man United
D 2021-04-25 Leeds 0–0 Man United
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Man United (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HTottenham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ASunderland
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HCrystal Palace
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrighton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAston Villa
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBournemouth
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HTottenham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AEverton
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
6–1
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ABrighton
W
3–0
3–0
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HNott'm Forest
W
3–2
7–6
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-18
HMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-13
AMan United
W
2–1
4–11
2–3
0–1
2026-01-04
HMan United
D
1–1
6–4
0–1
0–0
2023-02-12
HMan United
L
0–2
7–3
2–1
0–0
2023-02-08
AMan United
D
2–2
5–6
3–1
0–0
2022-02-20
HMan United
L
2–4
3–3
6–3
0–0
2021-08-14
AMan United
L
1–5
4–5
2–1
0–0
2021-04-25
HMan United
D
0–0
2–6
4–1
0–0
2020-12-20
AMan United
L
2–6
13–11
0–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Leeds — higher 1H shots and corners
Leeds
Man United
Possession %
51
49
xG
0.84
0.79
Shots
6.7
5.3
On target
1.9
1.8
Off target
2.6
1.7
Corners
3.1
2.2
Yellow cards
0.8
0.7
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Leeds
Man United
Possession %
46
49
xG
0.93
0.76
Shots
7.3
6.8
On target
2.5
2.4
Off target
2.4
2.4
Corners
2.9
2.0
Yellow cards
1.1
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Leeds
38%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Man United
29%
Leeds at home
Expected goals: 1.51
Conceded goals: 0.95
Man United away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 1.15
Projected for this match: Leeds 1.25 — 1.16 Man United
Expected goals: Leeds 1.25 — 1.16 Man United

Likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.8%
0-110.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.4%

Corners (90 min)

Leeds4.2
Man United5.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Leeds1.6
Man United1.9
1H total1.1
2H total2.3
England averages 4.0 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Leeds
27%
Level
35%
Man United
38%
Expected 2H goals Leeds 0.74 — 0.94 Man United

2H corners

Expected total5.2
Leeds1.9
Man United3.4

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.3
Leeds1.1
Man United1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Leeds
25%
1H · Draw
50%
1H · Man United
25%
Expected 1H goals Leeds 0.44 — 0.44 Man United · Over 0.5: Over (59%) · Over 1.5: Under (22%)

1H corners

Expected total4.8
Leeds2.3
Man United2.5
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Leeds0.5
Man United0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.3
Leeds 2H1.1
Man United 2H1.2
England averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
England averages 4.3 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Benjamin Sesko (0.28 xG), Man United's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Leeds · 2 listed

Anton Stachdoubt
1 · Ankle
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Man United · 6 listed

Lisandro Martinezsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Harry Maguiredoubt
1 · Low back
Marcus Rashforddoubt
1 · Groin
Benjamin Seskoinjury
1 · Calf
Luke Shawinjury
1 · Other
Manuel Ugarteinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Leeds vs Man United (Premier League). Model call: Leeds to win match full time (38% / 33% / 29%).

Man United holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Leeds 1.25 — 1.16 Man United. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Man United. Leeds home form +0.56; Man United away form +0.23.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed. Without Manuel Ugarte, Man United's full-time chance creation is trimmed.