Chelsea
v
Man United

Premier League · Sat 31 Oct · 14:30 · Referee: Peter Bankes

Head-to-head — last 5 at Chelsea (home)

W 2026-10-31 Chelsea 2–0 Man United
L 2026-04-18 Chelsea 0–1 Man United
W 2025-05-16 Chelsea 1–0 Man United
W 2024-04-04 Chelsea 4–3 Man United
D 2022-10-22 Chelsea 1–1 Man United
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): 0 → Chelsea (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASunderland
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBournemouth
W
5–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HAston Villa
D
4–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBournemouth
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HTottenham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMan City
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AEverton
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HIpswich
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
6–1
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
AHull
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ABrighton
W
3–0
3–0
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HNott'm Forest
W
3–2
7–6
2–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-18
HMan United
L
0–1
7–1
1–3
0–0
2025-09-20
AMan United
L
1–2
5–5
5–0
1–1
2025-05-16
HMan United
W
1–0
7–2
1–6
0–0
2024-11-03
AMan United
D
1–1
8–4
2–6
0–0
2024-04-04
HMan United
W
4–3
12–3
3–0
0–0
2023-12-06
AMan United
L
1–2
4–12
0–4
0–0
2023-05-25
AMan United
L
1–4
4–3
1–1
0–0
2022-10-22
HMan United
D
1–1
6–4
1–4
0–0
2022-04-28
AMan United
D
1–1
9–2
1–0
0–0
2021-11-28
HMan United
D
1–1
15–2
2–5
0–0
2021-02-28
HMan United
D
0–0
3–4
1–2
0–0
2020-10-24
AMan United
D
0–0
6–9
1–3
0–0
2020-02-17
HMan United
L
0–2
9–8
4–3
0–0
2019-08-11
AMan United
L
0–4
5–3
4–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Man United — higher 1H xG
Chelsea
Man United
Possession %
56
49
xG
0.56
0.79
Shots
6.5
5.3
On target
2.4
1.8
Off target
2.0
1.7
Corners
2.6
2.2
Yellow cards
0.8
0.7
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Chelsea — higher 2H xG, possession and shots
Chelsea
Man United
Possession %
55
49
xG
1.22
0.76
Shots
9.0
6.8
On target
2.4
2.4
Off target
2.6
2.4
Corners
3.6
2.0
Yellow cards
2.0
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Chelsea
38%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Man United
34%
Chelsea at home
Expected goals: 1.23
Conceded goals: 1.49
Man United away
Expected goals: 1.38
Conceded goals: 1.15
Projected for this match: Chelsea 1.41 — 1.46 Man United
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.41 — 1.46 Man United

Likely scores

1-112%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%

Goals markets

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS58.5%

Corners (90 min)

Chelsea5.1
Man United5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Chelsea2.1
Man United2
1H total1.4
2H total2.6
Bankes averages 4.0 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Chelsea
24%
Level
35%
Man United
41%
Expected 2H goals Chelsea 0.68 — 0.97 Man United

2H corners

Expected total5.9
Chelsea2.9
Man United3

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.6
Chelsea1.5
Man United1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Chelsea
24%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Man United
37%
Expected 1H goals Chelsea 0.58 — 0.79 Man United · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners

Expected total4.2
Chelsea2.2
Man United2
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.4
Chelsea0.6
Man United0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 59%
2H expected total2.6
Chelsea 2H1.5
Man United 2H1.2
Bankes averages 1.6 yellows and 0.3 reds before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Bankes averages 1.6 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG), Chelsea's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Without Benjamin Sesko (0.28 xG), Man United's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Chelsea · 6 listed

Mamadou Sarrdoubt
1 · Calf
Emiliano Martinezinjury
1 · Head
Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Jorrel Hatodoubt
1 · Other
Jamie Gittensinjury
1 · Ankle
Maxence Lacroixinjury
1 · Thigh

Man United · 6 listed

Lisandro Martinezsuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Harry Maguiredoubt
1 · Low back
Marcus Rashforddoubt
1 · Groin
Benjamin Seskoinjury
1 · Calf
Luke Shawinjury
1 · Other
Manuel Ugarteinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Chelsea vs Man United (Premier League). Model call: Chelsea to win match full time (38% / 28% / 34%).

Man United holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Chelsea 1.41 — 1.46 Man United. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Chelsea. Chelsea home form -0.26; Man United away form +0.23.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jamie Gittens, Chelsea's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Manuel Ugarte, Man United's full-time chance creation is trimmed.