Toulouse v 
Lyon
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
60%
22%
18%
1 · Toulouse
60%
what the odds should be: 1.67
X · Draw
22%
what the odds should be: 4.55
2 · Lyon
18%
what the odds should be: 5.56
Expected goals — Toulouse: 1.97 · Lyon: 1.27
Head-to-head — last 5 at Toulouse (home)
W
2026-05-10
Toulouse 2–1 Lyon
L
2024-09-29
Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
L
2024-03-15
Toulouse 2–3 Lyon
L
2023-04-14
Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
L
2019-11-02
Toulouse 2–3 Lyon
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.31 → Toulouse (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Toulouse
Total5.3
1st half2.1
2nd half3.2
Lyon
Total8.5
1st half3.4
2nd half5.1
Yellow cards — per team physical
Toulouse
Total3.4
1st half1.4
2nd half2
Lyon
Total1.1
1st half0.4
2nd half0.6
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Toulouse to win match full time
Based on: Toulouse's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Toulouse (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Toulouse; home advantage to Toulouse.
Corners
Lyon to win corners 1st half
Lyon to win corners 2nd half
Lyon to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Toulouse to win yellow cards 1st half
Toulouse to win yellow cards 2nd half
Toulouse to win yellow cards full time