Newcastle v Liverpool

Head-to-head — last 5 at Newcastle (home)

D 2026-08-23 Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool

L 2025-08-25 Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool

D 2024-12-04 Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool

L 2023-08-27 Newcastle 1–2 Liverpool

L 2023-02-18 Newcastle 0–2 Liverpool

Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-14

ALeeds

L

1–4

0–0

2026-08-29

ATottenham

W

2–0

0–0

2026-08-23

HLiverpool

D

2–2

2–6

5–3

0–0

2026-05-24

AFulham

L

0–2

6–6

2–2

0–0

2026-05-17

HWest Ham

W

3–1

9–1

1–3

0–0

2026-05-10

ANott'm Forest

D

1–1

1–2

0–2

0–0

2026-05-02

HBrighton

W

3–1

2–10

3–3

0–0

2026-04-25

AArsenal

L

0–1

2–7

2–2

0–0

2026-04-18

HBournemouth

L

1–2

2–3

2–4

0–0

2026-04-12

ACrystal Palace

L

1–2

4–2

3–0

0–0

2026-03-22

HSunderland

L

1–2

9–5

1–6

0–0

2026-03-14

AChelsea

W

1–0

1–8

2–2

0–0

2026-03-04

HMan United

W

2–1

2–4

2–3

1–0

2026-02-28

HEverton

L

2–3

7–2

2–3

0–0

2026-02-21

AMan City

L

1–2

5–5

5–2

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-09-12

HFulham

D

0–0

2026-08-29

HNott'm Forest

D

2–2

0–0

2026-08-23

ANewcastle

D

2–2

6–2

3–5

0–0

2026-05-24

HBrentford

D

1–1

14–2

2–3

0–0

2026-05-15

AAston Villa

L

2–4

9–4

1–3

0–0

2026-05-09

HChelsea

D

1–1

5–2

2–4

0–0

2026-05-03

AMan United

L

2–3

2–2

0–0

2026-04-25

HCrystal Palace

W

3–1

5–8

1–3

0–0

2026-04-19

AEverton

W

2–1

6–1

0–2

0–0

2026-04-11

HFulham

W

2–0

6–9

0–0

2026-03-21

ABrighton

L

1–2

8–4

5–5

0–0

2026-03-15

HTottenham

D

1–1

3–4

0–0

2026-03-03

AWolves

L

1–2

11–2

1–2

0–0

2026-02-28

HWest Ham

W

5–2

10–5

2–2

0–0

2026-02-22

ANott'm Forest

W

1–0

2–7

0–2

0–0

Date

Opponent

Goals

Corners

Yellow

Red

2026-08-23

HLiverpool

D

2–2

2–6

5–3

0–0

2026-01-31

ALiverpool

L

1–4

11–7

3–1

0–0

2025-08-25

HLiverpool

L

2–3

7–1

2–3

1–0

2025-02-26

ALiverpool

L

0–2

2–4

1–0

0–0

2024-12-04

HLiverpool

D

3–3

5–6

2–5

0–0

2024-01-01

ALiverpool

L

2–4

3–7

5–3

0–0

2023-08-27

HLiverpool

L

1–2

5–9

1–2

0–1

2023-02-18

HLiverpool

L

0–2

6–7

1–1

1–0

2022-08-31

ALiverpool

L

1–2

0–13

2–0

0–0

2022-04-30

HLiverpool

L

0–1

0–6

1–3

0–0

2021-12-16

ALiverpool

L

1–3

0–11

3–1

0–0

2021-04-24

ALiverpool

D

1–1

3–6

1–2

0–0

2020-12-30

HLiverpool

D

0–0

5–12

2–3

0–0

2020-07-26

HLiverpool

L

1–3

2–4

1–0

0–0

2019-09-14

ALiverpool

L

1–3

1–10

0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Newcastle — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots

Newcastle

Liverpool

Possession %

51

57

xG

0.98

0.47

Shots

6.2

5.2

On target

2.6

1.8

Off target

1.9

2.0

Corners

3.4

3.1

Yellow cards

0.3

0.2

Red cards

0.1

0.0

Second half lean: Newcastle — higher 2H xG

Newcastle

Liverpool

Possession %

51

59

xG

1.23

1.08

Shots

7.9

8.7

On target

2.9

Off target

2.6

3.1

Corners

2.2

3.5

Yellow cards

1.5

1.3

Red cards

0.0

Full-time call

NO BET

1 · Newcastle

38%

X · Draw

26%

2 · Liverpool

36%

Newcastle at home

Expected goals: 2

Conceded goals: 1.68

Liverpool away

Expected goals: 1.6

Conceded goals: 1.92

Projected for this match: Newcastle 1.62 — 1.63 Liverpool

Expected goals: Newcastle 1.62 — 1.63 Liverpool

Likely scores

1-110.5%

1-28.3%

2-18.3%

Goals markets

Over 1.583.9%

Over 2.563.1%

Over 3.540.9%

BTTS64.8%

Corners (90 min)

Newcastle4.2

Liverpool5.9

Yellow cards (90 min)

Newcastle2.5

Liverpool2.1

1H total1.3

2H total3.3

Attwell averages 3.8 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Newcastle

28%

Level

32%

Liverpool

40%

Expected 2H goals Newcastle 0.85 — 1.07 Liverpool

2H corners

Expected total5.7

Newcastle2.2

Liverpool3.5

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.3

Newcastle1.8

Liverpool1.5

First half

No bet no-bet confidence

1H · Newcastle

32%

1H · Draw

41%

1H · Liverpool

27%

Expected 1H goals Newcastle 0.69 — 0.6 Liverpool · Over 0.5: Over (73%) · Over 1.5: Under (37%)

1H corners

Expected total4.4

Newcastle2

Liverpool2.4

O/U 4.5Under · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.3

Newcastle0.7

Liverpool0.6

O/U 1.5Under · 63%

2H expected total3.3

Newcastle 2H1.8

Liverpool 2H1.5

Attwell averages 1.0 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.

Attwell averages 3.3 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Newcastle · 3 listed

Joelintoninjury

1 · Groin

William Osulainjury

1 · Ankle

Daniel Burninjury

1 · Ankle

Liverpool · 5 listed

Federico Chiesainjury

1 · Low back

Giovanni Leoniinjury

1 · Cruciate ligame

Hugo Ekitikeinjury

1 · Calf

Conor Bradleyinjury

1 · Knee

Vitezslav Jarosinjury

1 · Other

Match analysis

Newcastle vs Liverpool (Premier League). Model call: Newcastle to win match full time (38% / 26% / 36%).

Liverpool holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Newcastle 1.62 — 1.63 Liverpool. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Newcastle home form +0.32; Liverpool away form -0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joelinton, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Federico Chiesa, Liverpool's full-time chance creation is trimmed.