Newcastle v 
Liverpool
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
48%
21%
31%
1 · Newcastle
48%
what the odds should be: 2.08
X · Draw
21%
what the odds should be: 4.76
2 · Liverpool
31%
what the odds should be: 3.23
Expected goals — Newcastle: 1.73 · Liverpool: 1.43
Head-to-head — last 5 at Newcastle (home)
L
2025-08-25
Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool
D
2024-12-04
Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool
L
2023-08-27
Newcastle 1–2 Liverpool
L
2023-02-18
Newcastle 0–2 Liverpool
L
2022-04-30
Newcastle 0–1 Liverpool
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.88 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Newcastle
Total4
1st half1.6
2nd half2.4
Liverpool
Total6.6
1st half2.6
2nd half3.9
Yellow cards — per team physical
Newcastle
Total2.3
1st half0.9
2nd half1.4
Liverpool
Total2
1st half0.8
2nd half1.2
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Newcastle to win match full time
Based on: Newcastle's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Liverpool (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Newcastle; home advantage to Newcastle.
Corners
Liverpool to win corners 1st half
Liverpool to win corners 2nd half
Liverpool to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Newcastle to win yellow cards 1st half
Newcastle to win yellow cards 2nd half
Newcastle to win yellow cards full time