Ipswich
v
Liverpool

Premier League · Fri 4 Sep · 21:00 · Referee: Darren England

Head-to-head — last 1 at Ipswich (home)

L 2024-08-17 Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Liverpool (2 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
ACrystal Palace
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AMan United
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HSunderland
W
2–1
3–5
0–3
0–0
2025-05-25
HWest Ham
L
1–3
4–0
1–1
0–0
2025-05-18
ALeicester
L
0–2
2–2
0–1
0–0
2025-05-10
HBrentford
L
0–1
5–6
2–4
0–0
2025-05-03
AEverton
D
2–2
3–3
4–4
0–0
2025-04-26
ANewcastle
L
0–3
2–11
2–1
1–0
2025-04-20
HArsenal
L
0–4
0–12
0–0
1–0
2025-04-13
AChelsea
D
2–2
4–15
2–2
0–0
2025-04-05
HWolves
L
1–2
4–8
2–2
0–0
2025-04-02
ABournemouth
W
2–1
3–8
2–1
0–0
2025-03-15
HNott'm Forest
L
2–4
6–3
1–1
0–0
2025-03-08
ACrystal Palace
L
0–1
4–5
3–4
0–0
2025-02-26
AMan United
L
2–3
6–5
4–4
0–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
6–2
3–5
0–0
2026-05-24
HBrentford
D
1–1
14–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-15
AAston Villa
L
2–4
9–4
1–3
0–0
2026-05-09
HChelsea
D
1–1
5–2
2–4
0–0
2026-05-03
AMan United
L
2–3
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-04-25
HCrystal Palace
W
3–1
5–8
1–3
0–0
2026-04-19
AEverton
W
2–1
6–1
0–2
0–0
2026-04-11
HFulham
W
2–0
6–9
0–0
0–0
2026-03-21
ABrighton
L
1–2
8–4
5–5
0–0
2026-03-15
HTottenham
D
1–1
3–4
0–0
0–0
2026-03-03
AWolves
L
1–2
11–2
1–2
0–0
2026-02-28
HWest Ham
W
5–2
10–5
2–2
0–0
2026-02-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–7
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2025-01-25
ALiverpool
L
1–4
4–3
2–0
0–0
2024-08-17
HLiverpool
L
0–2
2–10
3–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Ipswich
Liverpool
Possession %
57
xG
0.47
Shots
5.2
On target
1.8
Off target
2.0
Corners (est.)
1.7
3.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.7
0.2
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Ipswich
Liverpool
Possession %
59
xG
1.08
Shots
8.7
On target
2.9
Off target
3.1
Corners (est.)
1.8
3.5
Yellow cards (est.)
1.5
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Ipswich
24%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Liverpool
50%
Ipswich at home
Expected goals: 0.88
Conceded goals: 2.42
Liverpool away
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.92
Projected for this match: Ipswich 1.39 — 1.71 Liverpool
Expected goals: Ipswich 1.39 — 1.71 Liverpool

Likely scores

1-111%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS61.9%

Corners (90 min)

Ipswich3.5
Liverpool6.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Ipswich2.2
Liverpool1.8
1H total1.3
2H total2.7
England averages 4.0 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Ipswich
25%
Level
32%
Liverpool
43%
Expected 2H goals Ipswich 0.77 — 1.12 Liverpool

2H corners split

Expected total5.2
Ipswich1.8
Liverpool3.4

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.7
Ipswich1.5
Liverpool1.2
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Ipswich
21%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Liverpool
41%
Expected 1H goals Ipswich 0.55 — 0.89 Liverpool · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.8
Ipswich1.7
Liverpool3.1
O/U 4.5Over · 52%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.3
Ipswich0.7
Liverpool0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.7
Ipswich 2H1.5
Liverpool 2H1.2
England averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
England averages 4.3 yellows and 0.2 reds after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Ipswich · 2 listed

Emersonndoubt
1 · Other
Jack Taylorinjury
1 · Knee

Liverpool · 5 listed

Federico Chiesainjury
1 · Low back
Giovanni Leoniinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Hugo Ekitikeinjury
1 · Calf
Conor Bradleyinjury
1 · Knee
Vitezslav Jarosinjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Ipswich vs Liverpool (Premier League). Model call: Liverpool to win match full time (24% / 26% / 50%).

Liverpool holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Ipswich 1.39 — 1.71 Liverpool. H2H (2 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Ipswich home form -1.54; Liverpool away form -0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jack Taylor, Ipswich's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Federico Chiesa, Liverpool's full-time chance creation is trimmed.