Brentford
v
Liverpool

Premier League · Sat 17 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: John Brooks

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brentford (home)

L 2026-10-17 Brentford 1–2 Liverpool
W 2025-10-25 Brentford 3–2 Liverpool
L 2025-01-18 Brentford 0–2 Liverpool
L 2024-02-17 Brentford 1–4 Liverpool
W 2023-01-02 Brentford 3–1 Liverpool
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ACrystal Palace
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBrighton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABrentford
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMan City
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ABournemouth
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
AIpswich
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
6–2
3–5
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBrentford
D
1–1
14–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-15
AAston Villa
L
2–4
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2025-10-25
HLiverpool
W
3–2
5–4
3–2
0–0
2025-01-18
HLiverpool
L
0–2
2–15
2–3
0–0
2024-08-25
ALiverpool
L
0–2
4–9
3–2
0–0
2024-02-17
HLiverpool
L
1–4
1–6
2–1
0–0
2023-11-12
ALiverpool
L
0–3
8–6
2–1
0–0
2023-05-06
ALiverpool
L
0–1
3–7
2–4
0–0
2023-01-02
HLiverpool
W
3–1
4–9
1–3
0–0
2022-01-16
ALiverpool
L
0–3
0–9
1–0
0–0
2021-09-25
HLiverpool
D
3–3
2–11
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Brentford — higher 1H xG
Brentford
Liverpool
Possession %
48
57
xG
0.89
0.47
Shots
5.2
5.2
On target
2.1
1.8
Off target
2.1
2.0
Corners
2.6
3.1
Yellow cards
0.1
0.2
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Brentford — higher 2H xG
Brentford
Liverpool
Possession %
57
59
xG
1.22
1.08
Shots
7.7
8.7
On target
2.4
2.9
Off target
3.4
3.1
Corners
2.9
3.5
Yellow cards
0.8
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brentford
50%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Liverpool
25%
Brentford at home
Expected goals: 1.82
Conceded goals: 1
Liverpool away
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.92
Projected for this match: Brentford 1.73 — 1.38 Liverpool
Expected goals: Brentford 1.73 — 1.38 Liverpool

Likely scores

1-111%
2-19.2%
1-07.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS61.8%

Corners (90 min)

Brentford4.3
Liverpool6.6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brentford2.2
Liverpool1.9
1H total1.1
2H total2.9
Brooks averages 4.3 yellows a match, which lifts the full-time card line.

Second half

Brentford
33%
Level
33%
Liverpool
34%
Expected 2H goals Brentford 0.91 — 0.92 Liverpool

2H corners

Expected total6.2
Brentford2.5
Liverpool3.7

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.9
Brentford1.5
Liverpool1.4

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brentford
32%
1H · Draw
42%
1H · Liverpool
26%
Expected 1H goals Brentford 0.67 — 0.57 Liverpool · Over 0.5: Over (71%) · Over 1.5: Under (35%)

1H corners

Expected total4.7
Brentford1.8
Liverpool2.9
O/U 4.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Brentford0.6
Liverpool0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.9
Brentford 2H1.5
Liverpool 2H1.4
Brooks averages 1.6 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Brooks averages 2.2 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Liverpool · 7 listed

Virgil van Dijkdoubt
1 · Other
Ryan Gravenberchdoubt
1 · Calf
Jeremie Frimponginjury
1 · Thigh
Conor Bradleyinjury
1 · Knee
Giovanni Leoniinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Hugo Ekitikeinjury
1 · Calf
Vitezslav Jarosinjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Brentford vs Liverpool (Premier League). Model call: Brentford to win match full time (50% / 25% / 25%).

Projected xG Brentford 1.73 — 1.38 Liverpool. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Brentford home form +0.82; Liverpool away form -0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool's full-time attack is trimmed as well.