Bournemouth
v
Liverpool

Premier League · Sun 20 Sep · 15:00 · Referee: Michael Oliver

Head-to-head — last 5 at Bournemouth (home)

L 2026-09-20 Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool
W 2026-01-24 Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool
L 2025-02-01 Bournemouth 0–2 Liverpool
L 2024-01-21 Bournemouth 0–4 Liverpool
W 2023-03-11 Bournemouth 1–0 Liverpool
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AIpswich
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HLeeds
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AMan United
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HSunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AChelsea
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HBrentford
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HEverton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
3–8
2–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AMan City
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ANott'm Forest
D
1–1
3–6
1–1
0–0
2026-05-19
HMan City
D
1–1
7–6
4–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ACrystal Palace
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBrighton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABrentford
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMan City
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ABournemouth
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
AIpswich
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
6–2
3–5
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBrentford
D
1–1
14–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-15
AAston Villa
L
2–4
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-20
HLiverpool
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-24
HLiverpool
W
3–2
3–11
1–1
0–0
2025-08-15
ALiverpool
L
2–4
7–6
2–1
0–0
2025-02-01
HLiverpool
L
0–2
3–3
2–3
0–0
2024-09-21
ALiverpool
L
0–3
9–3
4–1
0–0
2024-01-21
HLiverpool
L
0–4
8–5
1–2
0–0
2023-08-19
ALiverpool
L
1–3
2–10
3–1
0–1
2023-03-11
HLiverpool
W
1–0
3–8
2–1
0–0
2022-08-27
ALiverpool
L
0–9
1–8
1–0
0–0
2020-03-07
ALiverpool
L
1–2
4–9
1–0
0–0
2019-12-07
HLiverpool
L
0–3
1–3
0–1
0–0
2019-02-09
ALiverpool
L
0–3
5–8
2–2
0–0
2018-12-08
HLiverpool
L
0–4
6–6
2–1
0–0
2018-04-14
ALiverpool
L
0–3
5–7
1–1
0–0
2017-12-17
HLiverpool
L
0–4
2–3
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Bournemouth — higher 1H xG, SOT and corners
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Possession %
50
57
xG
0.69
0.47
Shots
5.6
5.2
On target
2.2
1.8
Off target
2.2
2.0
Corners
3.8
3.1
Yellow cards
0.7
0.2
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Bournemouth — higher 2H xG projection
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Possession %
51
59
xG
1.14
1.08
Shots
8.8
8.7
On target
2.9
2.9
Off target
2.6
3.1
Corners
3.5
3.5
Yellow cards
1.6
1.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Bournemouth
39%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Liverpool
32%
Bournemouth at home
Expected goals: 1.61
Conceded goals: 1.11
Liverpool away
Expected goals: 1.6
Conceded goals: 1.92
Projected for this match: Bournemouth 1.51 — 1.44 Liverpool
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.51 — 1.44 Liverpool

Likely scores

1-111.7%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%

Goals markets

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS59.9%

Corners (90 min)

Bournemouth4.4
Liverpool6.5

Yellow cards (90 min)

Bournemouth2.5
Liverpool1.6
1H total1.3
2H total2.7
Oliver averages 3.3 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Bournemouth
34%
Level
33%
Liverpool
33%
Expected 2H goals Bournemouth 0.93 — 0.9 Liverpool

2H corners

Expected total6.3
Bournemouth2.2
Liverpool4.1

2H yellow cards

Expected total2.7
Bournemouth1.6
Liverpool1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Bournemouth
31%
1H · Draw
45%
1H · Liverpool
24%
Expected 1H goals Bournemouth 0.59 — 0.48 Liverpool · Over 0.5: Over (66%) · Over 1.5: Under (29%)

1H corners

Expected total4.6
Bournemouth2.2
Liverpool2.4
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.3
Bournemouth0.8
Liverpool0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.7
Bournemouth 2H1.6
Liverpool 2H1.1
Oliver averages 0.8 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Oliver averages 2.9 yellows after HT, which lifts the 2H card line.

Evanilson (0.27 xG) is Bournemouth's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Bournemouth · 3 listed

Veljko Milosavljevicdoubt
1 · Knee
Juanlu Sanchezdoubt
1 · Ankle
Julian Araujodoubt
1 · Thigh

Liverpool · 7 listed

Virgil van Dijkdoubt
1 · Other
Ryan Gravenberchdoubt
1 · Calf
Jeremie Frimponginjury
1 · Thigh
Conor Bradleyinjury
1 · Knee
Giovanni Leoniinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Hugo Ekitikeinjury
1 · Calf
Vitezslav Jarosinjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Liverpool (Premier League). Model call: Bournemouth to win match full time (39% / 29% / 32%).

Bournemouth holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Bournemouth 1.51 — 1.44 Liverpool. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Bournemouth home form +0.5; Liverpool away form -0.32.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool's full-time attack is trimmed as well.