Nott'm Forestv
Leeds
Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 16:00 · Referee: Robert Jones
Head-to-head — last 3 at Nott'm Forest (home)
L
2026-08-22
Nott'm Forest 0–1 Leeds
W
2025-11-09
Nott'm Forest 3–1 Leeds
W
2023-02-05
Nott'm Forest 1–0 Leeds
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Leeds (5 meetings on file)
Last Matches
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
AAston Villa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ALiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-05-24
HBournemouth
D
1–1
6–3
1–1
0–0
2026-05-17
AMan United
L
2–3
6–7
1–2
0–0
2026-05-10
HNewcastle
D
1–1
2–1
2–0
0–0
2026-05-04
AChelsea
W
3–1
1–10
1–3
0–0
2026-04-24
ASunderland
W
5–0
6–3
5–2
0–0
2026-04-19
HBurnley
W
4–1
4–4
0–2
0–0
2026-04-12
HAston Villa
D
1–1
7–3
2–2
0–0
2026-03-22
ATottenham
W
3–0
3–13
2–1
0–0
2026-03-15
HFulham
D
0–0
5–4
2–3
0–0
2026-03-04
AMan City
D
2–2
1–6
4–0
0–0
2026-03-01
ABrighton
L
1–2
4–4
1–3
0–0
2026-02-22
HLiverpool
L
0–1
7–2
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
2026-05-11
ATottenham
D
1–1
2–14
1–3
0–0
2026-05-01
HBurnley
W
3–1
5–0
4–3
0–0
2026-04-22
ABournemouth
D
2–2
1–12
0–3
0–0
2026-04-18
HWolves
W
3–0
5–6
2–1
0–0
2026-04-13
AMan United
W
2–1
4–11
2–3
0–1
2026-03-21
HBrentford
D
0–0
6–2
2–0
0–0
2026-03-15
ACrystal Palace
D
0–0
3–8
1–2
1–0
2026-03-03
HSunderland
L
0–1
9–2
1–3
0–0
2026-02-28
HMan City
L
0–1
5–3
0–3
0–0
2026-02-21
AAston Villa
D
1–1
2–7
4–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-08-22
HLeeds
L
0–1
3–2
2–1
0–0
2026-02-06
ALeeds
L
1–3
10–5
1–1
0–0
2025-11-09
HLeeds
W
3–1
6–4
2–1
0–0
2023-04-04
ALeeds
L
1–2
4–11
4–1
0–0
2023-02-05
HLeeds
W
1–0
0–2
4–2
0–0
Venue tag: H = home, A = away.
Period stats — 1H / 2H
First half lean: Nott'm Forest — higher 1H SOT, possession and shots
Nott'm Forest
LeedsPossession %
49
44
xG
0.60
0.79
Shots
6.8
4.8
On target
2.4
1.6
Off target
1.9
1.8
Corners
2.8
1.2
Yellow cards
0.3
0.9
Red cards
0.0
0.1
Second half lean: Nott'm Forest — higher 2H shots
Nott'm Forest
LeedsPossession %
42
46
xG
0.91
0.83
Shots
8.0
6.6
On target
2.0
2.2
Off target
3.3
2.6
Corners
2.0
1.6
Yellow cards
0.9
1.0
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Full-time call
NO BET
1 · Nott'm Forest
35%
X · Draw
37%
2 · Leeds
28%
Nott'm Forest at home
Expected goals: 0.95
Conceded goals: 0.99
Leeds away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.47
Projected for this match: Nott'm Forest 1.12 — 1.18 Leeds
Expected goals: Nott'm Forest 1.12 — 1.18 Leeds
Likely scores
1-113.7%
0-111.4%
1-010.8%
Goals markets
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520%
BTTS47%
Corners (90 min)
Nott'm Forest5.5
Leeds4.3
Yellow cards (90 min)
Nott'm Forest1.7
Leeds1.6
1H total1.2
2H total2.1
Jones averages 3.9 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.
Second half
Nott'm Forest
38%
Level
35%
Leeds
27%
2H corners
Expected total5.4
Nott'm Forest2.6
Leeds2.8
2H yellow cards
Expected total2.1
Nott'm Forest1.1
Leeds1
First half
No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Nott'm Forest
24%
1H · Draw
52%
1H · Leeds
24%
1H corners
Expected total4.4
Nott'm Forest2.9
Leeds1.5
O/U 4.5Under · 55%
1H yellow cards
Expected total1.2
Nott'm Forest0.6
Leeds0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 66%
2H expected total2.1
Nott'm Forest 2H1.1
Leeds 2H1
Jones averages 2.8 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Jones averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.
Lorenzo Lucca (0.19 xG) is Nott'm Forest's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.
Squad availability
Nott'm Forest · 1 listed
Nicolo Savonainjury
Leeds · 2 listed
Joe Rodoninjury
Mateo Josephinjury
Match analysis
Nott'm Forest vs Leeds (Premier League). Model call: Draw (35% / 37% / 28%).
Leeds holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Nott'm Forest 1.12 — 1.18 Leeds. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Leeds. Nott'm Forest home form -0.04; Leeds away form -0.4.
First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed.