Arsenal v 
Leeds
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
69%
10%
21%
1 · Arsenal
69%
what the odds should be: 1.45
X · Draw
10%
what the odds should be: 10
2 · Leeds
21%
what the odds should be: 4.76
Expected goals — Arsenal: 1.53 · Leeds: 0.67
Head-to-head — last 4 at Arsenal (home)
W
2025-08-23
Arsenal 5–0 Leeds
W
2023-04-01
Arsenal 4–1 Leeds
W
2022-05-08
Arsenal 2–1 Leeds
W
2021-02-14
Arsenal 4–2 Leeds
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +1 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Arsenal
Total5.7
1st half2.3
2nd half3.4
Leeds
Total3.8
1st half1.5
2nd half2.3
Yellow cards — per team physical
Arsenal
Total1.4
1st half0.5
2nd half0.8
Leeds
Total1.8
1st half0.7
2nd half1.1
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Arsenal to win match full time
Based on: Arsenal's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Arsenal (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Arsenal; home advantage to Arsenal.
Corners
Arsenal to win corners 1st half
Arsenal to win corners 2nd half
Arsenal to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Leeds to win yellow cards 1st half
Leeds to win yellow cards 2nd half
Leeds to win yellow cards full time