Milan
v
Inter

Serie A · Sat 31 Oct · 21:45 · Referee: Marco Guida

Head-to-head — last 5 at Milan (home)

W 2026-10-31 Milan 3–1 Inter
W 2026-03-08 Milan 1–0 Inter
D 2025-02-02 Milan 1–1 Inter
L 2024-04-22 Milan 1–2 Inter
W 2022-09-03 Milan 3–2 Inter
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Milan (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
AGenoa
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HBologna
L
2–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AUdinese
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HAtalanta
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ASassuolo
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HLecce
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ALazio
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AJuventus
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
4–2
1–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ATorino
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HCagliari
L
1–2
5–5
2–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HComo
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMilan
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABologna
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HParma
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ARoma
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HUdinese
W
5–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HNapoli
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACagliari
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
3–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-22
HMonza
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-23
ABologna
D
3–3
4–1
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-31
HInter
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-08
HInter
W
1–0
1–6
2–2
0–0
2025-11-23
AInter
W
1–0
1–9
2–1
0–0
2025-02-02
HInter
D
1–1
8–11
0–2
0–0
2024-09-22
AInter
W
2–1
2–6
1–4
0–0
2024-04-22
HInter
L
1–2
5–3
3–2
2–1
2023-09-16
AInter
L
1–5
0–5
2–2
0–0
2023-02-05
AInter
L
0–1
0–8
5–2
0–0
2022-09-03
HInter
W
3–2
2–5
5–2
0–0
2022-02-05
AInter
W
2–1
4–6
4–2
1–0
2021-11-07
HInter
D
1–1
4–8
1–0
0–0
2021-02-21
HInter
L
0–3
7–7
2–1
0–0
2020-10-17
AInter
W
2–1
5–3
4–3
0–0
2020-02-09
AInter
L
2–4
6–7
2–4
0–0
2019-09-21
HInter
L
0–2
2–6
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Milan
Inter
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.6
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Milan
Inter
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.7
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
1.2
1.3
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Milan
19%
X · Draw
23%
2 · Inter
58%
Milan at home
Expected goals: 1.21
Conceded goals: 1.32
Inter away
Expected goals: 2.25
Conceded goals: 1.14
Projected for this match: Milan 1.2 — 2.07 Inter
Expected goals: Milan 1.2 — 2.07 Inter

Likely scores

1-29.8%
1-19.7%
0-28.2%

Goals markets

Over 1.584%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS61.3%

Corners (90 min)

Milan3.4
Inter4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Milan1.7
Inter1.8
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Milan
22%
Level
31%
Inter
47%
Expected 2H goals Milan 0.71 — 1.18 Inter

2H corners split

Expected total4
Milan1.7
Inter2.3

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Milan1.2
Inter1.3
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Milan
19%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Inter
40%
Expected 1H goals Milan 0.45 — 0.78 Inter · Over 0.5: Over (71%) · Over 1.5: Under (35%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.7
Milan1.6
Inter2.1
O/U 3.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Milan0.5
Inter0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Milan 2H1.2
Inter 2H1.3

Without Santiago Giménez (0.17 xG), Milan's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Marcus Thuram (0.42 xG) is Inter's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Milan · 7 listed

Santiago Gimenezsuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Strahinja Pavlovicdoubt
1 · Physical discom
Samuel Chukwuezeinjury
1 · Hip
Fikayo Tomoriinjury
1 · Hamstring
Ruben Loftus-Cheekdoubt
1 · Thigh
Matteo Gabbiainjury
1 · Other
Pietro Terraccianodoubt
1 · Shoulder

Inter · 4 listed

Ange-Yoan Bonnyinjury
1 · Muscle
Aleksandar Stankovicdoubt
1 · Groin
Luis Henriquedoubt
1 · Thigh
Lautaro Martinezinjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Milan vs Inter (Serie A). Model call: Inter to win match full time (19% / 23% / 58%).

Inter holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Milan 1.2 — 2.07 Inter. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Milan. Milan home form -0.11; Inter away form +1.11.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Santiago Gimenez, Milan's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Ange-Yoan Bonny, Inter's full-time attack is trimmed.