Newcastle
v
Hull

Premier League · Sat 19 Sep · 16:00 · Referee: Tony Harrington

Head-to-head — last 3 at Newcastle (home)

W 2026-09-19 Newcastle 2–1 Hull
D 2014-09-20 Newcastle 2–2 Hull
L 2013-09-21 Newcastle 2–3 Hull
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Newcastle (4 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AFulham
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
HEverton
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ACrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HAston Villa
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-12
ACoventry
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HHull
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ALeeds
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HBournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ATottenham
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
2–6
5–3
0–0
2026-08-23
HLiverpool
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AFulham
L
0–2
6–6
2–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HWest Ham
W
3–1
9–1
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HIpswich
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AFulham
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HEverton
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
ANewcastle
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AChelsea
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AChelsea
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAston Villa
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ACoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ACoventry
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HMan United
W
2–0
1–6
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2017-05-21
HTottenham
L
1–7
2–3
0–0
0–0
2017-05-14
ACrystal Palace
L
0–4
7–3
5–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-19
HHull
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2015-01-31
AHull
W
3–0
3–3
1–4
0–0
2014-09-20
HHull
D
2–2
4–2
4–2
0–0
2014-03-01
AHull
W
4–1
3–6
2–3
0–0
2013-09-21
HHull
L
2–3
3–3
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Newcastle
Hull
Possession %
51
—
xG
0.98
—
Shots
6.2
—
On target
2.6
—
Off target
1.9
—
Corners (est.)
3.4
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.3
0.8
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0
Too close to call
Newcastle
Hull
Possession %
51
—
xG
1.23
—
Shots
7.9
—
On target
2.9
—
Off target
2.6
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.4
Yellow cards (est.)
1.5
1.6
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Newcastle
60%
X · Draw
23%
2 · Hull
17%
Newcastle at home
Expected goals: 2
Conceded goals: 1.68
Hull away
Expected goals: 0.38
Conceded goals: 2.43
Projected for this match: Newcastle 1.67 — 1.32 Hull
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.67 — 1.32 Hull

Likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.3%
1-08.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS59.8%

Corners (90 min)

Newcastle4.9
Hull4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Newcastle1.6
Hull2.4
1H total1.3
2H total2.7
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Newcastle
38%
Level
33%
Hull
29%
Expected 2H goals Newcastle 0.99 — 0.84 Hull

2H corners split

Expected total5
Newcastle2.6
Hull2.4

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.7
Newcastle1.1
Hull1.6
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Newcastle
41%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Hull
20%
Expected 1H goals Newcastle 0.85 — 0.51 Hull · Over 0.5: Over (74%) · Over 1.5: Under (39%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.6
Newcastle2.4
Hull2.3
O/U 4.5Even · 49%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.3
Newcastle0.5
Hull0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.7
Newcastle 2H1.1
Hull 2H1.6
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the 1H card line.
Harrington averages 3.6 yellows a match, which trims the 2H card line.

Nick Woltemade (0.31 xG) is Newcastle's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Newcastle · 3 listed

Jacob Ramseysuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Joelintoninjury
1 · Other
Ewen Jaoueninjury
1 · Thigh

Hull · 8 listed

Matt Crookssuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Mohamed Belloumidoubt
1 · Hamstring
Semi Ajayidoubt
1 · Other
Hidemasa Moritainjury
1 · Groin
Charlie Hughesdoubt
1 · Groin
Darko Gyabidoubt
1 · Thigh
Matt Targettinjury
1 · Ankle
Eliot Matazoinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Newcastle vs Hull (Premier League). Model call: Newcastle to win match full time (60% / 23% / 17%).

Projected xG Newcastle 1.67 — 1.32 Hull. H2H (4 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Newcastle. Newcastle home form +0.32; Hull away form -2.05.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jacob Ramsey, Newcastle's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Matt Crooks, Hull's full-time chance creation is trimmed.