Roma
v
Genoa

Serie A · Sat 17 Oct · 20:45 · Referee: Rosario Abisso

Head-to-head — last 5 at Roma (home)

W 2026-10-17 Roma 2–0 Genoa
W 2025-12-29 Roma 3–1 Genoa
W 2025-01-17 Roma 3–1 Genoa
W 2024-05-19 Roma 1–0 Genoa
D 2022-02-05 Roma 0–0 Genoa
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.14 → Roma (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HSassuolo
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AUdinese
W
5–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-27
HCagliari
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ANapoli
D
3–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HGenoa
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AComo
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HInter
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
ATorino
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HAtalanta
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ALecce
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
2–3
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
HFiorentina
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AVerona
W
2–0
6–6
1–3
0–1
2026-05-17
HLazio
W
2–0
8–3
2–3
1–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALecce
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HJuventus
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HVenezia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ARoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AParma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
HComo
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALecce
L
0–1
6–1
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-17
HGenoa
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-08
AGenoa
L
1–2
6–3
3–1
0–0
2025-12-29
HGenoa
W
3–1
6–1
0–1
0–0
2025-01-17
HGenoa
W
3–1
3–2
1–1
0–0
2024-09-15
AGenoa
D
1–1
5–4
3–1
0–0
2024-05-19
HGenoa
W
1–0
6–3
3–0
1–0
2023-09-28
AGenoa
L
1–4
7–1
3–4
0–0
2022-02-05
HGenoa
D
0–0
6–4
3–2
1–1
2021-11-21
AGenoa
W
2–0
2–1
2–3
0–0
2021-03-07
HGenoa
W
1–0
7–1
1–4
0–0
2020-11-08
AGenoa
W
3–1
8–1
0–1
0–0
2020-01-19
AGenoa
W
3–1
3–7
3–2
0–0
2019-08-25
HGenoa
D
3–3
5–1
3–1
0–0
2019-05-05
AGenoa
D
1–1
7–4
2–1
0–0
2018-12-16
HGenoa
W
3–2
6–4
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Roma
Genoa
Possession %
—
50
xG
—
0.32
Shots
—
4.5
On target
—
0.9
Off target
—
2.6
Corners (est.)
2.2
1.7
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.3
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Roma
Genoa
Possession %
—
54
xG
—
0.26
Shots
—
3.6
On target
—
1.0
Off target
—
1.9
Corners (est.)
2.4
2.2
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
0.0
Red cards (est.)
0.1
0.0

Full-time call

BET · HOME (83.5%)
1 · Roma
83%
X · Draw
12%
2 · Genoa
5%
Roma at home
Expected goals: 2.3
Conceded goals: 0.43
Genoa away
Expected goals: 0.78
Conceded goals: 1.04
Projected for this match: Roma 2.05 — 0.48 Genoa
Expected goals: Roma 2.05 — 0.48 Genoa

Likely scores

2-016.7%
1-016.1%
3-011.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS33.6%

Corners (90 min)

Roma4.6
Genoa4.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Roma2
Genoa1.6
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Roma
47%
Level
34%
Genoa
19%
Expected 2H goals Roma 1.07 — 0.57 Genoa

2H corners split

Expected total4.5
Roma2.4
Genoa2.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Roma1.3
Genoa1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

Level medium confidence
1H · Roma
45%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Genoa
9%
Expected 1H goals Roma 0.72 — 0.19 Genoa · Over 0.5: Over (60%) · Over 1.5: Under (23%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Roma2.2
Genoa2
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Roma0.6
Genoa0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Roma 2H1.3
Genoa 2H1.1
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Mario Hermoso (0.29 xG) is Roma's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Leo Østigard (0.10 xG) is Genoa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Roma · 8 listed

Wesleysuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Neil El Aynaouidoubt
1 · Ankle
Gianluca Mancinidoubt
1 · Thigh
Paulo Dybalainjury
1 · Calf
Devyne Renschdoubt
1 · Thigh
Pierluigi Gollinidoubt
1 · Low back
Lorenzo Pellegriniinjury
1 · Thigh
Mile Svilardoubt
1 · Foot

Genoa · 2 listed

Morten Frendrupdoubt
1 · Ankle
Joi Xheto Nurediniinjury
1 · Other

Match analysis

Roma vs Genoa (Serie A). Model call: Roma to win match full time (83% / 12% / 5%).

Roma holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Roma 2.05 — 0.48 Genoa. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Roma. Roma home form +1.87; Genoa away form -0.27.

First-half lean: Level. Without Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Joi Xheto Nuredini, Genoa's full-time attack is trimmed.