Genoa
v
Fiorentina

Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Fabio Maresca

Head-to-head — last 5 at Genoa (home)

W 2026-10-10 Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina
D 2025-11-09 Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
L 2024-10-31 Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina
L 2023-08-19 Genoa 1–4 Fiorentina
L 2021-09-18 Genoa 1–2 Fiorentina
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Fiorentina (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HMilan
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
ALecce
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
HJuventus
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HVenezia
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ARoma
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AParma
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFrosinone
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
HComo
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
5–5
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HNapoli
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALecce
L
0–1
6–1
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HJuventus
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
ASassuolo
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
HAtalanta
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AInter
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HComo
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HNapoli
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
AVenezia
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-11
AVenezia
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HTorino
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HFrosinone
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HFrosinone
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
ARoma
L
0–4
3–2
2–2
0–0
2026-08-24
ARoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-22
HAtalanta
D
1–1
3–3
0–2
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-10
HFiorentina
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-10
AFiorentina
D
0–0
3–4
0–0
0–0
2025-11-09
HFiorentina
D
2–2
3–7
2–3
0–0
2025-02-02
AFiorentina
L
1–2
8–1
1–3
0–0
2024-10-31
HFiorentina
L
0–1
4–4
4–2
0–0
2024-04-15
AFiorentina
D
1–1
2–6
2–1
0–0
2023-08-19
HFiorentina
L
1–4
3–4
2–3
0–0
2022-01-17
AFiorentina
L
0–6
0–4
3–1
0–0
2021-09-18
HFiorentina
L
1–2
1–11
4–4
0–0
2021-04-03
HFiorentina
D
1–1
4–2
2–1
0–1
2020-12-07
AFiorentina
D
1–1
1–5
2–2
0–0
2020-01-25
AFiorentina
D
0–0
6–7
3–4
0–0
2019-09-01
HFiorentina
W
2–1
9–8
2–0
0–0
2019-05-26
AFiorentina
D
0–0
1–4
2–1
0–0
2018-12-29
HFiorentina
D
0–0
7–3
2–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Genoa
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.0
1.9
Yellow cards (est.)
0.5
0.7
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Genoa
Fiorentina
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.2
2.1
Yellow cards (est.)
1.0
1.4
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.1

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Genoa
38%
X · Draw
38%
2 · Fiorentina
24%
Genoa at home
Expected goals: 1.15
Conceded goals: 1.53
Fiorentina away
Expected goals: 1.08
Conceded goals: 1.82
Projected for this match: Genoa 1.1 — 0.99 Fiorentina
Expected goals: Genoa 1.1 — 0.99 Fiorentina

Likely scores

1-113.9%
1-013.1%
0-012.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516%
BTTS42.4%

Corners (90 min)

Genoa4.1
Fiorentina4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Genoa1.5
Fiorentina2.1
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Genoa
32%
Level
41%
Fiorentina
27%
Expected 2H goals Genoa 0.67 — 0.59 Fiorentina

2H corners split

Expected total4.2
Genoa2.2
Fiorentina2.1

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Genoa1
Fiorentina1.4
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Genoa
20%
1H · Draw
53%
1H · Fiorentina
27%
Expected 1H goals Genoa 0.34 — 0.45 Fiorentina · Over 0.5: Over (55%) · Over 1.5: Under (19%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.9
Genoa2
Fiorentina1.9
O/U 3.5Over · 55%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Genoa0.5
Fiorentina0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Genoa 2H1
Fiorentina 2H1.4
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Leo Østigard (0.10 xG) is Genoa's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Roberto Piccoli (0.14 xG) is Fiorentina's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Genoa · 2 listed

Morten Frendrupdoubt
1 · Ankle
Joi Xheto Nurediniinjury
1 · Other

Fiorentina · 5 listed

Luca Ranierisuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Fabiano Parisiinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Moise Keaninjury
1 · Lower leg
Marin Pongracicinjury
1 · Thigh
Arthur Attadoubt
1 · Abdomen

Match analysis

Genoa vs Fiorentina (Serie A). Model call: Draw (38% / 38% / 24%).

Fiorentina holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Genoa 1.1 — 0.99 Fiorentina. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Fiorentina. Genoa home form -0.38; Fiorentina away form -0.74.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joi Xheto Nuredini, Genoa's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Moise Kean, Fiorentina's full-time attack is trimmed.