Vallecano
v
Elche

La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00 · Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Head-to-head — last 5 at Vallecano (home)

L 2026-10-24 Vallecano 0–3 Elche
W 2026-04-03 Vallecano 1–0 Elche
W 2022-10-03 Vallecano 2–1 Elche
W 2021-10-17 Vallecano 2–1 Elche
L 2014-09-14 Vallecano 2–3 Elche
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Elche (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASociedad
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HCelta
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HElche
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-19
AGetafe
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
AOsasuna
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HEspanol
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AReal Madrid
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSantander
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
ABarcelona
L
2–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-20
HAlaves
D
1–1
9–7
1–2
0–0
2026-08-20
HAlaves
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-15
ASevilla
L
1–2
2–1
4–4
0–1
2026-08-15
ASevilla
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBetis
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HValencia
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AVallecano
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AVillarreal
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HCelta
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
AEspanol
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HReal Madrid
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-15
HReal Madrid
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
AAth Bilbao
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
HSociedad
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ASantander
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
ASantander
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HBarcelona
L
0–5
3–1
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-24
HElche
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-03
HElche
W
1–0
9–4
0–4
0–1
2025-12-21
AElche
L
0–4
5–4
3–2
0–0
2023-04-29
AElche
L
0–4
8–3
2–1
1–0
2022-10-03
HElche
W
2–1
13–3
1–8
0–0
2022-02-18
AElche
L
1–2
3–2
4–2
0–0
2021-10-17
HElche
W
2–1
6–2
2–2
0–0
2015-02-09
AElche
L
0–2
4–5
3–2
1–0
2014-09-14
HElche
L
2–3
6–5
2–2
0–0
2014-01-18
AElche
L
0–2
1–7
2–2
1–0
2013-08-19
HElche
W
3–0
3–4
2–2
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Vallecano
Elche
Possession %
58
53
xG
0.37
0.15
Shots
5.5
2.9
On target
1.6
0.9
Off target
2.1
1.1
Corners
2.8
0.5
Yellow cards
0.5
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Vallecano — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Vallecano
Elche
Possession %
54
44
xG
1.07
0.36
Shots
9.8
3.8
On target
4.4
1.4
Off target
3.3
1.5
Corners
1.8
0.5
Yellow cards
1.1
3.0
Red cards
0.0
0.5

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Vallecano
62%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Elche
13%
Vallecano at home
Expected goals: 1.44
Conceded goals: 0.83
Elche away
Expected goals: 1.01
Conceded goals: 1.87
Projected for this match: Vallecano 1.54 — 1 Elche
Expected goals: Vallecano 1.54 — 1 Elche

Likely scores

1-112.5%
1-011.8%
2-09.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525%
BTTS49.9%

Corners (90 min)

Vallecano4.3
Elche4.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Vallecano2.4
Elche2.4
1H total1.5
2H total3.3

Second half

Vallecano
42%
Level
37%
Elche
21%
Expected 2H goals Vallecano 0.93 — 0.57 Elche

2H corners split

Expected total5.6
Vallecano2.7
Elche2.9

2H yellow cards split

Expected total3.3
Vallecano1.6
Elche1.6
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Vallecano
34%
1H · Draw
43%
1H · Elche
23%
Expected 1H goals Vallecano 0.66 — 0.49 Elche · Over 0.5: Over (69%) · Over 1.5: Under (32%)

1H corners split

Expected total3.4
Vallecano1.6
Elche1.8
O/U 3.5Under · 56%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.5
Vallecano0.8
Elche0.8
O/U 1.5Under · 56%
2H expected total3.3
Vallecano 2H1.6
Elche 2H1.6
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Randy Nteka (0.38 xG) is Vallecano's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Ali Houary (0.17 xG), Elche's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Vallecano · 5 listed

Unai Lopezsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Oscar Valentindoubt
1 · Knee
Alvaro Garciadoubt
1 · Other
Luiz Felipedoubt
1 · Other
Augusto Batallainjury
1 · Lower leg

Elche · 6 listed

Buba Sangaredoubt
1 · Other
Ali Houarydoubt
1 · Ankle
Adam Boayarinjury
1 · Muscle
Gonzalo Villardoubt
1 · Other
Marc Aguadodoubt
1 · Ankle
Yago Santiagodoubt
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Vallecano vs Elche (La Liga). Model call: Vallecano to win match full time (62% / 25% / 13%).

Vallecano holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Vallecano 1.54 — 1 Elche. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Elche. Vallecano home form +0.61; Elche away form -0.86.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Unai Lopez, Vallecano's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Adam Boayar, Elche's full-time attack is trimmed.