Union Berlin v Dortmund

Referee not yet confirmed

Result

37%
10%
52%
1 · Union Berlin
37%
what the odds should be: 2.7
X · Draw
10%
what the odds should be: 10
2 · Dortmund
52%
what the odds should be: 1.92
Expected goals — Union Berlin: 1.8 · Dortmund: 1.63

Head-to-head — last 5 at Union Berlin (home)

L 2026-01-24 Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund
W 2024-10-05 Union Berlin 2–1 Dortmund
L 2024-03-02 Union Berlin 0–2 Dortmund
W 2022-10-16 Union Berlin 2–0 Dortmund
L 2022-02-13 Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.66 → Dortmund (5 meetings on file)

Corners — per team

Union Berlin

Total3.7
1st half1.6
2nd half2.2

Dortmund

Total5.9
1st half2.5
2nd half3.4

Yellow cards — per team

Union Berlin

Total1.3
1st half0.5
2nd half0.8

Dortmund

Total1.5
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9

No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.

Our model's call

Dortmund to win match full time
Based on: Dortmund's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Dortmund (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Union Berlin; home advantage to Union Berlin.
Corners
Dortmund to win corners 1st half
Dortmund to win corners 2nd half
Dortmund to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Dortmund to win yellow cards 1st half
Dortmund to win yellow cards 2nd half
Dortmund to win yellow cards full time