Leeds
v
Crystal Palace

Premier League · Sun 20 Sep · 15:00 · Referee: Adam Herczeg

Head-to-head — last 5 at Leeds (home)

L 2026-09-20 Leeds 0–1 Crystal Palace
W 2025-12-20 Leeds 4–1 Crystal Palace
L 2023-04-09 Leeds 1–5 Crystal Palace
W 2021-11-30 Leeds 1–0 Crystal Palace
W 2021-02-08 Leeds 2–0 Crystal Palace
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.07 → Crystal Palace (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
HTottenham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ASunderland
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HMan United
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
HCrystal Palace
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-14
HNewcastle
W
4–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrighton
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
2–3
1–2
0–0
2026-08-22
ANott'm Forest
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
AWest Ham
L
0–3
4–6
3–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HBrighton
W
1–0
7–8
1–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HLiverpool
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ATottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HNewcastle
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABrighton
L
0–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HNott'm Forest
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ALeeds
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HIpswich
L
2–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-28
HMan City
L
1–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–4
1–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AEverton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HArsenal
L
1–2
3–4
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ABrentford
D
2–2
4–9
3–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-20
HCrystal Palace
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-15
ACrystal Palace
D
0–0
3–8
1–2
1–0
2025-12-20
HCrystal Palace
W
4–1
9–5
1–3
0–0
2023-04-09
HCrystal Palace
L
1–5
2–4
3–1
0–0
2022-10-09
ACrystal Palace
L
1–2
3–5
3–3
0–0
2022-04-25
ACrystal Palace
D
0–0
3–6
2–2
0–0
2021-11-30
HCrystal Palace
W
1–0
7–4
5–3
0–0
2021-02-08
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
5–3
0–2
0–0
2020-11-07
ACrystal Palace
L
1–4
6–3
2–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Leeds — higher 1H possession and shots
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Possession %
51
44
xG
0.84
0.80
Shots
6.7
5.5
On target
1.9
2.2
Off target
2.6
1.4
Corners
3.1
2.7
Yellow cards
0.8
0.9
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Leeds — higher 2H xG, SOT and possession
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Possession %
46
42
xG
0.93
0.56
Shots
7.3
4.9
On target
2.5
1.8
Off target
2.4
1.8
Corners
2.9
1.3
Yellow cards
1.1
1.6
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Leeds
62%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Crystal Palace
11%
Leeds at home
Expected goals: 1.51
Conceded goals: 0.95
Crystal Palace away
Expected goals: 0.97
Conceded goals: 1.87
Projected for this match: Leeds 1.48 — 0.8 Crystal Palace
Expected goals: Leeds 1.48 — 0.8 Crystal Palace

Likely scores

1-014.8%
1-112.5%
2-011.2%

Goals markets

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS42.8%

Corners (90 min)

Leeds5
Crystal Palace5.1

Yellow cards (90 min)

Leeds1.4
Crystal Palace1.8
1H total1.1
2H total2

Second half

Leeds
33%
Level
38%
Crystal Palace
29%
Expected 2H goals Leeds 0.77 — 0.71 Crystal Palace

2H corners

Expected total4.4
Leeds1.8
Crystal Palace2.6

2H yellow cards

Expected total2
Leeds0.9
Crystal Palace1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Leeds
44%
1H · Draw
44%
1H · Crystal Palace
12%
Expected 1H goals Leeds 0.74 — 0.27 Crystal Palace · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (27%)

1H corners

Expected total5.7
Leeds3.2
Crystal Palace2.5
O/U 5.5Even · 51%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Leeds0.5
Crystal Palace0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2
Leeds 2H0.9
Crystal Palace 2H1.1

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (0.26 xG) is Leeds' main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Jean-Philippe Mateta (0.26 xG), Crystal Palace's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Leeds · 2 listed

Anton Stachdoubt
1 · Ankle
Mateo Josephinjury
1 · Ankle

Crystal Palace · 5 listed

Jean-Philippe Matetasuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
J. Strand Larsendoubt
1 · Ankle
Ismaila Sarrinjury
1 · Groin
Takehiro Tomiyasuinjury
1 · Calf
Chadi Riadinjury
1 · Knee

Match analysis

Leeds vs Crystal Palace (Premier League). Model call: Leeds to win match full time (62% / 27% / 11%).

Leeds holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Leeds 1.48 — 0.8 Crystal Palace. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Crystal Palace. Leeds home form +0.56; Crystal Palace away form -0.9.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Mateo Joseph, Leeds' full-time attack is trimmed. Without Jean-Philippe Mateta, Crystal Palace's full-time attack is trimmed as well.