Sunderland
v
Chelsea

Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 16:00 · Referee: Jarred Gillett

Head-to-head — last 5 at Sunderland (home)

W 2026-11-08 Sunderland 1–0 Chelsea
W 2026-05-24 Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea
L 2016-12-14 Sunderland 0–1 Chelsea
W 2016-05-07 Sunderland 3–2 Chelsea
D 2014-11-29 Sunderland 0–0 Chelsea
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Sunderland (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HChelsea
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
ACoventry
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HLeeds
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
ABournemouth
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMan City
L
3–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
ABrentford
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HFulham
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
5–3
3–0
0–0
2026-08-22
AIpswich
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HChelsea
W
2–1
7–7
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AEverton
W
3–1
2–3
0–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASunderland
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBournemouth
W
5–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HChelsea
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HChelsea
W
2–1
7–7
3–2
0–0
2025-10-25
AChelsea
W
2–1
1–9
1–1
0–0
2017-05-21
AChelsea
L
1–5
1–11
1–1
0–0
2016-12-14
HChelsea
L
0–1
5–5
3–2
0–0
2016-05-07
HChelsea
W
3–2
3–3
4–1
0–1
2015-12-19
AChelsea
L
1–3
2–2
3–1
0–0
2015-05-24
AChelsea
L
1–3
3–11
1–2
0–0
2014-11-29
HChelsea
D
0–0
2–8
3–2
0–0
2014-04-19
AChelsea
W
2–1
4–10
2–1
0–0
2013-12-04
HChelsea
L
3–4
6–5
4–3
0–0
2013-04-07
AChelsea
L
1–2
5–8
2–0
0–0
2012-12-08
HChelsea
L
1–3
11–1
1–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Sunderland
Chelsea
Possession %
51
53
xG
0.69
0.73
Shots
6.9
4.8
On target
2.0
1.7
Off target
2.2
1.4
Corners
3.0
2.5
Yellow cards
0.4
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Sunderland — higher 2H shots
Sunderland
Chelsea
Possession %
50
57
xG
0.66
0.72
Shots
7.2
5.4
On target
2.1
2.1
Off target
3.1
1.9
Corners
1.6
2.3
Yellow cards
1.9
2.2
Red cards
0.0
0.3

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Sunderland
35%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Chelsea
32%
Sunderland at home
Expected goals: 1.04
Conceded goals: 1.23
Chelsea away
Expected goals: 1.62
Conceded goals: 1.68
Projected for this match: Sunderland 1.4 — 1.48 Chelsea
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.4 — 1.48 Chelsea

Likely scores

1-112%
1-28.6%
2-18.1%

Goals markets

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS58.6%

Corners (90 min)

Sunderland4.5
Chelsea5.7

Yellow cards (90 min)

Sunderland2.2
Chelsea2.3
1H total1.1
2H total3.3
Gillett averages 3.7 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Sunderland
37%
Level
36%
Chelsea
27%
Expected 2H goals Sunderland 0.9 — 0.71 Chelsea

2H corners

Expected total5
Sunderland2
Chelsea3

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.3
Sunderland1.6
Chelsea1.7
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Sunderland
27%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Chelsea
34%
Expected 1H goals Sunderland 0.64 — 0.74 Chelsea · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners

Expected total5.2
Sunderland2.5
Chelsea2.7
O/U 5.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1.1
Sunderland0.5
Chelsea0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total3.3
Sunderland 2H1.6
Chelsea 2H1.7
Gillett averages 1.5 yellows before HT, which lifts the 1H card line.
Gillett averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Eliezer Mayenda (0.16 xG) is Sunderland's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG), Chelsea's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Sunderland · 6 listed

Omar Alderetesuspension
1 · 2nd yellow (Red)
Granit Xhakadoubt
1 · Calf
Brian Brobbeydoubt
1 · Other
Daniel Ballardinjury
1 · Thigh
Habib Diarrainjury
1 · Thigh
Romaine Mundleinjury
1 · Knee

Chelsea · 6 listed

Mamadou Sarrdoubt
1 · Calf
Emiliano Martinezinjury
1 · Head
Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Jorrel Hatodoubt
1 · Other
Jamie Gittensinjury
1 · Ankle
Maxence Lacroixinjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Sunderland vs Chelsea (Premier League). Model call: Sunderland to win match full time (35% / 33% / 32%).

Sunderland holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Sunderland 1.4 — 1.48 Chelsea. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Sunderland. Sunderland home form -0.19; Chelsea away form -0.06.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Habib Diarra, Sunderland's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jamie Gittens, Chelsea's full-time chance creation is trimmed.