Everton
v
Chelsea

Premier League · Sat 17 Oct · 13:30 · Referee: Paul Tierney

Head-to-head — last 5 at Everton (home)

L 2026-10-17 Everton 0–2 Chelsea
W 2026-03-21 Everton 3–0 Chelsea
D 2024-12-22 Everton 0–0 Chelsea
W 2023-12-10 Everton 2–0 Chelsea
L 2022-08-06 Everton 0–1 Chelsea
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Chelsea (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-06
HCoventry
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-02
ANewcastle
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
AArsenal
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
AHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HIpswich
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ATottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ATottenham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HMan United
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ABournemouth
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ABournemouth
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
4–0
0–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HCrystal Palace
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ATottenham
L
0–1
2–6
3–5
1–0
2026-05-17
HSunderland
L
1–3
3–2
3–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASunderland
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBournemouth
W
5–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-17
HChelsea
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-21
HChelsea
W
3–0
3–9
0–2
0–0
2025-12-13
AChelsea
L
0–2
7–4
0–1
0–0
2025-04-26
AChelsea
L
0–1
2–10
0–0
0–0
2024-12-22
HChelsea
D
0–0
2–5
4–1
0–0
2024-04-15
AChelsea
L
0–6
8–4
4–1
0–0
2023-12-10
HChelsea
W
2–0
4–8
2–2
0–0
2023-03-18
AChelsea
D
2–2
2–8
2–2
0–0
2022-08-06
HChelsea
L
0–1
4–16
3–2
0–0
2022-05-01
HChelsea
W
1–0
3–8
3–5
0–0
2021-12-16
AChelsea
D
1–1
1–7
3–2
0–0
2021-03-08
AChelsea
L
0–2
3–7
3–0
0–0
2020-12-12
HChelsea
W
1–0
6–6
2–3
0–0
2020-03-08
AChelsea
L
0–4
1–6
2–1
0–0
2019-12-07
HChelsea
W
3–1
1–5
3–0
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Chelsea — higher 1H xG, possession and corners
Everton
Chelsea
Possession %
39
53
xG
0.51
0.73
Shots
4.2
4.8
On target
1.6
1.7
Off target
1.2
1.4
Corners
2.0
2.5
Yellow cards
0.6
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Everton — higher 2H xG, SOT and shots
Everton
Chelsea
Possession %
45
57
xG
0.92
0.72
Shots
7.6
5.4
On target
3.2
2.1
Off target
2.4
1.9
Corners
1.8
2.3
Yellow cards
1.5
2.2
Red cards
0.1
0.3

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Everton
45%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Chelsea
25%
Everton at home
Expected goals: 1.56
Conceded goals: 1.44
Chelsea away
Expected goals: 1.62
Conceded goals: 1.68
Projected for this match: Everton 1.64 — 1.43 Chelsea
Expected goals: Everton 1.64 — 1.43 Chelsea

Likely scores

1-111.2%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS61.6%

Corners (90 min)

Everton4.4
Chelsea5.2

Yellow cards (90 min)

Everton2
Chelsea2.1
1H total1
2H total3.1
Tierney averages 3.4 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Everton
36%
Level
33%
Chelsea
31%
Expected 2H goals Everton 0.95 — 0.86 Chelsea

2H corners

Expected total5.1
Everton2.4
Chelsea2.7

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.1
Everton1.4
Chelsea1.7
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Everton
33%
1H · Draw
41%
1H · Chelsea
26%
Expected 1H goals Everton 0.68 — 0.59 Chelsea · Over 0.5: Over (72%) · Over 1.5: Under (36%)

1H corners

Expected total4.5
Everton2.1
Chelsea2.5
O/U 4.5Under · 53%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Everton0.6
Chelsea0.4
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3.1
Everton 2H1.4
Chelsea 2H1.7
Tierney averages 1.1 yellows before HT, around the usual 1H card pace.
Tierney averages 2.4 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Beto (0.21 xG) is Everton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Without Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG), Chelsea's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Everton · 0 listed

None listed

Chelsea · 6 listed

Mamadou Sarrdoubt
1 · Calf
Emiliano Martinezinjury
1 · Head
Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Jorrel Hatodoubt
1 · Other
Jamie Gittensinjury
1 · Ankle
Maxence Lacroixinjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Everton vs Chelsea (Premier League). Model call: Everton to win match full time (45% / 30% / 25%).

Projected xG Everton 1.64 — 1.43 Chelsea. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Chelsea.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Jamie Gittens, Chelsea's full-time chance creation is trimmed.