Brentford
v
Chelsea

Premier League · Fri 18 Sep · 21:00 · Referee: Andy Madley

Head-to-head — last 5 at Brentford (home)

W 2026-09-18 Brentford 3–0 Chelsea
D 2025-09-13 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
D 2025-04-06 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
D 2024-03-02 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
D 2022-10-19 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.14 → Chelsea (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ABrighton
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HNott'm Forest
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
AHull
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HLiverpool
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
AAston Villa
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
ABournemouth
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HSunderland
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ALeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
7–3
1–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HTottenham
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ALiverpool
D
1–1
2–14
3–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCrystal Palace
D
2–2
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ASunderland
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMan United
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
HTottenham
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
AEverton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
HBournemouth
W
5–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-18
ABrentford
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HHull
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
AArsenal
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
HBrighton
W
4–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
4–6
3–2
0–0
2026-08-24
AFulham
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
ASunderland
L
1–2
7–7
2–3
0–0
2026-05-19
HTottenham
W
2–1
3–4
4–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-18
HChelsea
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-01-17
AChelsea
L
0–2
9–3
2–3
0–0
2025-09-13
HChelsea
D
2–2
5–6
3–2
0–0
2025-04-06
HChelsea
D
0–0
3–6
1–3
0–0
2024-12-15
AChelsea
L
1–2
5–8
2–0
0–1
2024-03-02
HChelsea
D
2–2
0–6
3–1
0–0
2023-10-28
AChelsea
W
2–0
1–10
4–1
0–0
2023-04-26
AChelsea
W
2–0
2–5
2–1
0–0
2022-10-19
HChelsea
D
0–0
6–2
0–0
0–0
2022-04-02
AChelsea
W
4–1
7–12
0–0
0–0
2021-10-16
HChelsea
L
0–1
5–5
1–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Brentford
Chelsea
Possession %
48
53
xG
0.89
0.73
Shots
5.2
4.8
On target
2.1
1.7
Off target
2.1
1.4
Corners
2.6
2.5
Yellow cards
0.1
0.3
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Brentford — higher 2H xG, shots and corners
Brentford
Chelsea
Possession %
57
57
xG
1.22
0.72
Shots
7.7
5.4
On target
2.4
2.1
Off target
3.4
1.9
Corners
2.9
2.3
Yellow cards
0.8
2.2
Red cards
0.0
0.3

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Brentford
54%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Chelsea
20%
Brentford at home
Expected goals: 1.82
Conceded goals: 1
Chelsea away
Expected goals: 1.62
Conceded goals: 1.68
Projected for this match: Brentford 1.73 — 1.32 Chelsea
Expected goals: Brentford 1.73 — 1.32 Chelsea

Likely scores

1-111.1%
2-19.3%
1-07.8%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS60.7%

Corners (90 min)

Brentford4.7
Chelsea6

Yellow cards (90 min)

Brentford1.8
Chelsea2.4
1H total1
2H total3.2
Madley averages 3.3 yellows a match, which trims the full-time card line.

Second half

Brentford
37%
Level
36%
Chelsea
27%
Expected 2H goals Brentford 0.87 — 0.7 Chelsea

2H corners

Expected total5.5
Brentford2.4
Chelsea3.2

2H yellow cards

Expected total3.2
Brentford1.4
Chelsea1.8

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Brentford
36%
1H · Draw
39%
1H · Chelsea
25%
Expected 1H goals Brentford 0.78 — 0.59 Chelsea · Over 0.5: Over (75%) · Over 1.5: Under (40%)

1H corners

Expected total5.2
Brentford2.4
Chelsea2.8
O/U 5.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Brentford0.4
Chelsea0.6
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3.2
Brentford 2H1.4
Chelsea 2H1.8
Madley averages 0.7 yellows and 0.3 reds before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Madley averages 2.3 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Igor Thiago (0.45 xG), Brentford's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Without Mamadou Sarr (0.57 xG), Chelsea's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Squad availability

Brentford · 5 listed

Igor Thiagosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Joshua Dasilvainjury
1 · Thigh
Fabio Carvalhoinjury
1 · Knock
Rico Henryinjury
1 · Groin
Antoni Milamboinjury
1 · Knee

Chelsea · 6 listed

Mamadou Sarrdoubt
1 · Calf
Emiliano Martinezinjury
1 · Head
Mykhaylo Mudrykinjury
1 · Ankle
Jorrel Hatodoubt
1 · Other
Jamie Gittensinjury
1 · Ankle
Maxence Lacroixinjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Brentford vs Chelsea (Premier League). Model call: Brentford to win match full time (54% / 26% / 20%).

Brentford holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Brentford 1.73 — 1.32 Chelsea. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Chelsea. Brentford home form +0.82; Chelsea away form -0.06.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Joshua Dasilva, Brentford's full-time chance creation is trimmed. Without Jamie Gittens, Chelsea's full-time chance creation is trimmed.