Arsenal v 
Chelsea
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
61%
21%
18%
1 · Arsenal
61%
what the odds should be: 1.64
X · Draw
21%
what the odds should be: 4.76
2 · Chelsea
18%
what the odds should be: 5.56
Expected goals — Arsenal: 1.67 · Chelsea: 0.77
Head-to-head — last 5 at Arsenal (home)
W
2026-03-01
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
W
2025-03-16
Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea
W
2024-04-23
Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea
W
2023-05-02
Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea
L
2021-08-22
Arsenal 0–2 Chelsea
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.65 → Arsenal (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Arsenal
Total4.3
1st half1.7
2nd half2.6
Chelsea
Total4.2
1st half1.7
2nd half2.5
Yellow cards — per team physical
Arsenal
Total2
1st half0.8
2nd half1.2
Chelsea
Total2.3
1st half0.9
2nd half1.4
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Arsenal to win match full time
Based on: Arsenal's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Arsenal (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Arsenal; home advantage to Arsenal.
Corners
corners 1st half too close to call — evenly matched
Arsenal to win corners 2nd half
Arsenal to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Chelsea to win yellow cards 1st half
Chelsea to win yellow cards 2nd half
Chelsea to win yellow cards full time