Liverpool
v
Brighton

Premier League · Sun 25 Oct · 16:00 · Referee: Sam Barrott

Head-to-head — last 5 at Liverpool (home)

W 2026-10-25 Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
W 2025-12-13 Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
W 2024-11-02 Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
W 2024-03-31 Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
D 2022-10-01 Liverpool 3–3 Brighton
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): +0.07 → Liverpool (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
ACrystal Palace
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HArsenal
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HBrighton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
ABrentford
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HMan City
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
ABournemouth
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-12
HFulham
D
0–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-04
AIpswich
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
HNott'm Forest
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
6–2
3–5
0–0
2026-08-23
ANewcastle
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HBrentford
D
1–1
14–2
2–3
0–0
2026-05-15
AAston Villa
L
2–4
9–4
1–3
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-08
HBrentford
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
AMan City
W
1–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
ALiverpool
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
HCrystal Palace
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-10
ASunderland
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HArsenal
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ACoventry
W
5–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-05
HLeeds
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
AChelsea
L
3–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
5–2
2–3
0–1
2026-08-23
HAston Villa
W
4–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HMan United
L
0–3
0–3
0–1
0–0
2026-05-17
ALeeds
L
0–1
8–7
0–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-25
HBrighton
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-03-21
ABrighton
L
1–2
8–4
5–5
0–0
2025-12-13
HBrighton
W
2–0
2–2
1–2
0–0
2025-05-19
ABrighton
L
2–3
3–3
0–1
0–0
2024-11-02
HBrighton
W
2–1
10–7
1–1
0–0
2024-03-31
HBrighton
W
2–1
8–4
5–3
0–0
2023-10-08
ABrighton
D
2–2
1–8
2–1
0–0
2023-01-14
ABrighton
L
0–3
1–7
3–1
0–0
2022-10-01
HBrighton
D
3–3
9–2
1–1
0–0
2022-03-12
ABrighton
W
2–0
6–7
1–3
0–0
2021-10-30
HBrighton
D
2–2
5–3
2–2
0–0
2021-02-03
HBrighton
L
0–1
6–3
1–0
0–0
2020-11-28
ABrighton
D
1–1
3–4
1–2
0–0
2020-07-08
ABrighton
W
3–1
10–6
4–1
0–0
2019-11-30
HBrighton
W
2–1
4–5
0–0
1–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Liverpool — higher 1H xG, SOT and shots
Liverpool
Brighton
Possession %
57
61
xG
0.87
0.61
Shots
8.3
4.8
On target
2.8
2.2
Off target
2.4
1.3
Corners
3.8
2.6
Yellow cards
0.0
0.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Liverpool — higher 2H xG projection
Liverpool
Brighton
Possession %
53
57
xG
0.97
0.98
Shots
8.1
8.4
On target
2.8
2.6
Off target
3.1
3.1
Corners
3.9
3.5
Yellow cards
1.3
0.8
Red cards
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Liverpool
34%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Brighton
35%
Liverpool at home
Expected goals: 1.8
Conceded goals: 1.02
Brighton away
Expected goals: 1.17
Conceded goals: 1.3
Projected for this match: Liverpool 1.38 — 1.72 Brighton
Expected goals: Liverpool 1.38 — 1.72 Brighton

Likely scores

1-111%
1-29.2%
0-17.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS61.8%

Corners (90 min)

Liverpool5.8
Brighton4.4

Yellow cards (90 min)

Liverpool1.8
Brighton2.2
1H total1
2H total3
Barrott averages 3.9 yellows a match, around the usual full-time card pace.

Second half

Liverpool
31%
Level
36%
Brighton
33%
Expected 2H goals Liverpool 0.78 — 0.81 Brighton

2H corners

Expected total4.7
Liverpool2.5
Brighton2.2

2H yellow cards

Expected total3
Liverpool1.4
Brighton1.5

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Liverpool
25%
1H · Draw
38%
1H · Brighton
37%
Expected 1H goals Liverpool 0.62 — 0.81 Brighton · Over 0.5: Over (76%) · Over 1.5: Under (42%)

1H corners

Expected total5.4
Liverpool3.2
Brighton2.2
O/U 5.5Under · 55%

1H yellow cards

Expected total1
Liverpool0.4
Brighton0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 74%
2H expected total3
Liverpool 2H1.4
Brighton 2H1.5
Barrott averages 0.9 yellows before HT, which trims the 1H card line.
Barrott averages 2.5 yellows after HT, which trims the 2H card line.

Without Hugo Ekitike (0.24 xG), Liverpool's first-half goal line is trimmed.

Danny Welbeck (0.25 xG) is Brighton's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Liverpool · 7 listed

Virgil van Dijkdoubt
1 · Other
Ryan Gravenberchdoubt
1 · Calf
Jeremie Frimponginjury
1 · Thigh
Conor Bradleyinjury
1 · Knee
Giovanni Leoniinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Hugo Ekitikeinjury
1 · Calf
Vitezslav Jarosinjury
1 · Other

Brighton · 8 listed

Matias Orozcosuspension
1 · Red card (direct)
Pascal Struijkdoubt
1 · Thigh
Femi Azeezinjury
1 · Thigh
Zadok Yohannainjury
1 · Other
Kaoru Mitomainjury
1 · Hamstring
Stefanos Tzimasinjury
1 · Cruciate ligame
Evan Fergusoninjury
1 · Ankle
Carlos Balebainjury
1 · Thigh

Match analysis

Liverpool vs Brighton (Premier League). Model call: Brighton to win match full time (34% / 31% / 35%).

Brighton holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Liverpool 1.38 — 1.72 Brighton. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Liverpool. Liverpool home form +0.79; Brighton away form -0.13.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool's full-time attack is trimmed as well. Without Matias Orozco, Brighton's full-time chance creation is trimmed.