Chelsea v 
Brighton
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
49%
11%
40%
1 · Chelsea
49%
what the odds should be: 2.04
X · Draw
11%
what the odds should be: 9.09
2 · Brighton
40%
what the odds should be: 2.5
Expected goals — Chelsea: 1.43 · Brighton: 1.33
Head-to-head — last 5 at Chelsea (home)
L
2025-09-27
Chelsea 1–3 Brighton
W
2024-09-28
Chelsea 4–2 Brighton
W
2023-12-03
Chelsea 3–2 Brighton
L
2023-04-15
Chelsea 1–2 Brighton
D
2021-12-29
Chelsea 1–1 Brighton
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.53 → Brighton (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Chelsea
Total4.4
1st half1.8
2nd half2.7
Brighton
Total5.1
1st half2
2nd half3.1
Yellow cards — per team physical
Chelsea
Total2.2
1st half0.9
2nd half1.3
Brighton
Total1.5
1st half0.6
2nd half0.9
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Chelsea to win match full time
Based on: Chelsea's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Brighton (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Chelsea; home advantage to Chelsea.
Corners
Brighton to win corners 1st half
Brighton to win corners 2nd half
Brighton to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Chelsea to win yellow cards 1st half
Chelsea to win yellow cards 2nd half
Chelsea to win yellow cards full time