Newcastle v 
Bournemouth
Referee not yet confirmed
Result
23%
42%
35%
1 · Newcastle
23%
what the odds should be: 4.35
X · Draw
42%
what the odds should be: 2.38
2 · Bournemouth
35%
what the odds should be: 2.86
Expected goals — Newcastle: 1.07 · Bournemouth: 1.33
Head-to-head — last 5 at Newcastle (home)
L
2026-04-18
Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth
L
2025-01-18
Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth
D
2024-02-17
Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
D
2022-09-17
Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth
W
2019-11-09
Newcastle 2–1 Bournemouth
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.77 → Bournemouth (5 meetings on file)
Corners — per team
Newcastle
Total5.5
1st half2.3
2nd half3.2
Bournemouth
Total4.7
1st half2
2nd half2.7
Yellow cards — per team
Newcastle
Total1.7
1st half0.7
2nd half1
Bournemouth
Total2.2
1st half0.9
2nd half1.3
No referee confirmed yet for this fixture — card prediction uses team averages only. The prediction will reweight once the official is announced.
Our model's call
Draw
Based on: Bournemouth's recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted) is stronger; head-to-head history favours Bournemouth (5 meetings on file); expected goals favour Bournemouth; home advantage to Newcastle.
Corners
Newcastle to win corners 1st half
Newcastle to win corners 2nd half
Newcastle to win corners full time
Yellow cards
Bournemouth to win yellow cards 1st half
Bournemouth to win yellow cards 2nd half
Bournemouth to win yellow cards full time