Lecce
v
Bologna

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 15:00 · Referee: Luca Pairetto

Head-to-head — last 5 at Lecce (home)

L 2026-10-11 Lecce 1–2 Bologna
D 2025-09-28 Lecce 2–2 Bologna
D 2025-02-09 Lecce 0–0 Bologna
D 2023-12-03 Lecce 1–1 Bologna
L 2023-06-04 Lecce 2–3 Bologna
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Bologna (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
ATorino
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-11-01
HGenoa
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-29
AFrosinone
L
1–5
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-25
HJuventus
L
0–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-18
AUdinese
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-20
AMilan
L
0–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
HMonza
W
3–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-07
ACagliari
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
HRoma
L
0–4
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
3–5
3–1
0–0
2026-08-23
AVenezia
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-24
HGenoa
W
1–0
1–6
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-11-07
AParma
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-31
HMonza
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-28
AMilan
W
4–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-24
ACagliari
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-17
HInter
L
1–3
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-10-11
ALecce
W
2–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-19
HTorino
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ANapoli
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-13
ANapoli
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-09-06
HSassuolo
D
2–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-31
AAtalanta
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-24
HLazio
L
0–1
8–6
4–4
0–0
2026-08-24
HLazio
L
0–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-05-23
HInter
D
3–3
1–4
0–2
0–0
2026-05-17
AAtalanta
W
1–0
5–2
1–1
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-10-11
HBologna
L
1–2
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-04-12
ABologna
L
0–2
6–8
2–0
0–0
2025-09-28
HBologna
D
2–2
3–9
4–2
0–0
2025-02-09
HBologna
D
0–0
6–5
0–2
0–0
2024-11-02
ABologna
L
0–1
1–9
2–2
0–0
2024-02-11
ABologna
L
0–4
3–4
2–1
0–0
2023-12-03
HBologna
D
1–1
6–3
3–2
0–0
2023-06-04
HBologna
L
2–3
7–2
1–3
0–0
2022-10-23
ABologna
L
0–2
4–9
2–5
0–0
2020-07-26
ABologna
L
2–3
6–9
1–1
0–0
2019-12-22
HBologna
L
2–3
6–2
3–3
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

Too close to call
Lecce
Bologna
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
1.9
2.3
Yellow cards (est.)
0.6
0.5
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0
Too close to call
Lecce
Bologna
Possession %
—
—
xG
—
—
Shots
—
—
On target
—
—
Off target
—
—
Corners (est.)
2.1
2.5
Yellow cards (est.)
1.3
1.1
Red cards (est.)
0.0
0.0

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Lecce
41%
X · Draw
34%
2 · Bologna
25%
Lecce at home
Expected goals: 0.7
Conceded goals: 1.19
Bologna away
Expected goals: 1.58
Conceded goals: 1.19
Projected for this match: Lecce 1.19 — 1 Bologna
Expected goals: Lecce 1.19 — 1 Bologna

Likely scores

1-113.7%
1-012.9%
0-011.5%

Goals markets

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518%
BTTS44.5%

Corners (90 min)

Lecce4
Bologna4.8

Yellow cards (90 min)

Lecce1.9
Bologna1.6
1H total1.1
2H total2.4

Second half

Lecce
35%
Level
41%
Bologna
24%
Expected 2H goals Lecce 0.72 — 0.54 Bologna

2H corners split

Expected total4.6
Lecce2.1
Bologna2.5

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.4
Lecce1.3
Bologna1.1
2H reds (exp.)0.1

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Lecce
24%
1H · Draw
46%
1H · Bologna
30%
Expected 1H goals Lecce 0.46 — 0.55 Bologna · Over 0.5: Over (64%) · Over 1.5: Under (27%)

1H corners split

Expected total4.2
Lecce1.9
Bologna2.3
O/U 4.5Under · 59%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.1
Lecce0.6
Bologna0.5
O/U 1.5Under · 70%
2H expected total2.4
Lecce 2H1.3
Bologna 2H1.1

Lameck Banda (0.26 xG) is Lecce's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Remo Freuler (0.47 xG) is Bologna's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Lecce · 5 listed

Riccardo Sottilinjury
1 · Low back
Joel Monteirodoubt
1 · Calf
Santiago Pierottiinjury
1 · Ankle
Medon Berishadoubt
1 · Thigh
Ivan Ilicdoubt
1 · Thigh

Bologna · 3 listed

Juan Mirandadoubt
1 · Thigh
Lorenzo De Silvestridoubt
1 · Thigh
Thijs Dallingainjury
1 · Cruciate ligame

Match analysis

Lecce vs Bologna (Serie A). Model call: Lecce to win match full time (41% / 34% / 25%).

Lecce holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Lecce 1.19 — 1 Bologna. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Bologna. Lecce home form -0.48; Bologna away form +0.39.

First-half lean: No bet. Without Riccardo Sottil, Lecce's full-time attack is trimmed. Without Thijs Dallinga, Bologna's full-time attack is trimmed.