Ath Bilbao
v
Ath Madrid

La Liga · Sat 5 Sep · 16:15 · Referee: José Munuera Montero

Head-to-head — last 5 at Ath Bilbao (home)

W 2025-12-06 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Ath Madrid
L 2024-08-31 Ath Bilbao 0–1 Ath Madrid
W 2023-12-16 Ath Bilbao 2–0 Ath Madrid
L 2022-10-15 Ath Bilbao 0–1 Ath Madrid
W 2022-04-30 Ath Bilbao 2–0 Ath Madrid
Overall H2H edge (venue-weighted, both grounds): -0.21 → Ath Madrid (5 meetings on file)

Last Matches

Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-12
HElche
D
1–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-30
ACelta
W
2–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-27
ABarcelona
L
0–2
5–12
2–1
0–0
2026-08-22
HSevilla
L
1–3
10–3
2–5
1–0
2026-05-23
AReal Madrid
L
2–4
1–2
0–2
0–0
2026-05-17
HCelta
D
1–1
5–0
2–2
0–0
2026-05-13
AEspanol
L
0–2
9–8
0–0
0–0
2026-05-10
HValencia
L
0–1
13–5
2–3
0–0
2026-05-02
AAlaves
W
4–2
7–4
4–4
0–0
2026-04-25
AAth Madrid
L
2–3
4–3
0–0
0–0
2026-04-21
HOsasuna
W
1–0
5–4
3–2
1–0
2026-04-12
HVillarreal
L
1–2
15–3
2–3
0–0
2026-04-05
AGetafe
L
0–2
3–4
1–3
0–0
2026-03-22
HBetis
W
2–1
6–5
1–1
0–0
2026-03-14
AGirona
L
0–3
9–2
2–0
0–0
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-09-13
ASociedad
W
3–0
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-29
ASevilla
W
3–1
0–0
0–0
0–0
2026-08-23
HVillarreal
D
2–2
5–3
3–2
1–0
2026-08-19
HMalaga
W
2–0
6–1
2–3
0–0
2026-05-24
AVillarreal
L
1–5
9–5
1–0
0–0
2026-05-17
HGirona
W
1–0
9–8
2–0
0–0
2026-05-12
AOsasuna
W
2–1
4–8
5–6
1–0
2026-05-09
HCelta
L
0–1
10–0
1–2
0–0
2026-05-02
AValencia
W
2–0
7–1
3–1
0–0
2026-04-25
HAth Bilbao
W
3–2
3–4
0–0
0–0
2026-04-22
AElche
L
2–3
3–13
2–2
1–0
2026-04-11
ASevilla
L
1–2
6–6
4–4
0–0
2026-04-04
HBarcelona
L
1–2
1–9
6–2
1–0
2026-03-22
AReal Madrid
L
2–3
1–4
4–1
0–1
2026-03-14
HGetafe
W
1–0
10–3
3–3
0–1
Date
Opponent
Goals
Corners
Yellow
Red
2026-04-25
AAth Madrid
L
2–3
4–3
0–0
0–0
2025-12-06
HAth Madrid
W
1–0
5–6
3–2
0–0
2025-03-01
AAth Madrid
L
0–1
2–6
3–2
0–0
2024-08-31
HAth Madrid
L
0–1
2–2
3–1
0–0
2024-04-27
AAth Madrid
L
1–3
5–3
2–3
0–0
2023-12-16
HAth Madrid
W
2–0
3–7
0–1
0–0
2023-02-19
AAth Madrid
L
0–1
5–6
3–2
0–0
2022-10-15
HAth Madrid
L
0–1
6–1
0–6
0–0
2022-04-30
HAth Madrid
W
2–0
5–3
3–3
0–0
2021-09-18
AAth Madrid
D
0–0
5–5
2–6
0–1
2021-04-25
HAth Madrid
W
2–1
4–11
4–2
0–0
2021-03-10
AAth Madrid
L
1–2
4–5
2–2
0–0
2020-06-14
HAth Madrid
D
1–1
5–7
3–0
0–0
2019-10-26
AAth Madrid
L
0–2
7–7
2–2
0–0
2019-03-16
HAth Madrid
W
2–0
1–7
3–1
0–0

Venue tag: H = home, A = away.

Period stats — 1H / 2H

First half lean: Ath Bilbao — higher 1H possession and shots
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid
Possession %
57
50
xG
0.74
0.88
Shots
9.0
5.5
On target
3.0
3.0
Off target
3.4
1.9
Corners
4.0
3.6
Yellow cards
1.0
0.5
Red cards
0.0
0.0
Second half lean: Ath Bilbao — higher 2H xG, possession and shots
Ath Bilbao
Ath Madrid
Possession %
59
44
xG
1.22
0.56
Shots
9.0
4.6
On target
2.6
2.2
Off target
4.0
2.1
Corners
1.0
3.1
Yellow cards
1.0
1.4
Red cards
0.0
0.5

Full-time call

NO BET
1 · Ath Bilbao
22%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Ath Madrid
51%
Ath Bilbao at home
Expected goals: 1.09
Conceded goals: 1.32
Ath Madrid away
Expected goals: 1.36
Conceded goals: 1.74
Projected for this match: Ath Bilbao 1.14 — 1.74 Ath Madrid
Expected goals: Ath Bilbao 1.14 — 1.74 Ath Madrid

Likely scores

1-111.5%
1-29.7%
0-19.4%

Goals markets

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS56.4%

Corners (90 min)

Ath Bilbao5.4
Ath Madrid5.3

Yellow cards (90 min)

Ath Bilbao1.8
Ath Madrid2.3
1H total1.3
2H total2.8

Second half

Ath Bilbao
25%
Level
32%
Ath Madrid
43%
Expected 2H goals Ath Bilbao 0.79 — 1.11 Ath Madrid

2H corners split

Expected total5.6
Ath Bilbao2.8
Ath Madrid2.8

2H yellow cards split

Expected total2.8
Ath Bilbao1.2
Ath Madrid1.5
2H reds (exp.)0.2

First half

No bet no-bet confidence
1H · Ath Bilbao
25%
1H · Draw
42%
1H · Ath Madrid
33%
Expected 1H goals Ath Bilbao 0.54 — 0.68 Ath Madrid · Over 0.5: Over (70%) · Over 1.5: Under (34%)

1H corners split

Expected total5.2
Ath Bilbao2.6
Ath Madrid2.5
O/U 5.5Under · 58%

1H yellow cards split

Expected total1.3
Ath Bilbao0.6
Ath Madrid0.7
O/U 1.5Under · 63%
2H expected total2.8
Ath Bilbao 2H1.2
Ath Madrid 2H1.5
1H reds (exp.)0.1

Nico Williams (0.30 xG) is Ath Bilbao's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Ademola Lookman (0.53 xG) is Ath Madrid's main first-half threat, which lifts the 1H goal line if they start.

Squad availability

Ath Bilbao · 6 listed

Yuri Berchichesuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Peio Canalesdoubt
1 · Calf
Gorka Guruzetadoubt
1 · Hamstring
Daniel Viviandoubt
1 · Hamstring
Andoni Gorosabeldoubt
1 · Groin
Unai Eguiluzinjury
1 · Knee

Ath Madrid · 2 listed

Robin Le Normandsuspension
1 · Yellow cards
Alexander Soerlothdoubt
1 · Muscle

Match analysis

Ath Bilbao vs Ath Madrid (La Liga). Model call: Ath Madrid to win match full time (22% / 27% / 51%).

Ath Madrid holds the stronger recent form (last 5, opponent-strength weighted). Projected xG Ath Bilbao 1.14 — 1.74 Ath Madrid. H2H (5 meetings, venue-weighted) leans Ath Madrid. Ath Bilbao home form -0.23; Ath Madrid away form -0.38.

First-half lean: No bet.